Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Northern Kentucky betting: College basketball preview for February 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (19-10, 12-6 Horizon League) host the Northern Kentucky Norse (14-15, 9-9 Horizon League) after winning three home games in a row. The Mastodons are favored by 7.5 points in the contest, which tips at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 27, 2025. The matchup has an over/under set at 151.5 points.

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Purdue Fort Wayne Cover -7.5 vs Northern Kentucky -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Northern Kentucky betting lines

  • Purdue Fort Wayne moneyline odds to win: -327
  • Northern Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +260
  • Spread: Purdue Fort Wayne (-7.5)
  • Total: 151.5

Purdue Fort Wayne statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Purdue Fort Wayne has done a better job covering the spread in road games (9-5-0) than it has at home (7-3-1).
  • The Mastodons have eclipsed the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (63.6%) than games on the road (57.1%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Purdue Fort Wayne has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.909) compared to road games (.714).

Recent trends

  • The Mastodons have been putting up 81.8 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • The last 10 games have seen Purdue Fort Wayne allow 4.1 more points per game (78.9) than its season-long average (74.8).
  • The Mastodons are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 10.0 threes per game and shooting 36.8% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 10.6 makes and 37.7% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Purdue Fort Wayne betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-9-1 (Home: 7-3-1; Away: 9-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 6-3-1 (As Favorite: 13-6-1; As Underdog: 4-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-11-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 10-1; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.5 (47th in nation) 46.5 (320th) 27.4 (351st) 33.9 (325th) 14.0 (146th) 8.8 (seventh)

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Northern Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Northern Kentucky has a better winning percentage at home (.333, 5-10-0 record) than away (.231, 3-10-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Norse games have finished over five of 15 times at home (33.3%), and six of 13 on the road (46.2%).
  • The Norse’s winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-2), and away it is .200 (2-8).

Recent trends

  • The Norse have played better offensively in their past 10 games, generating 72.5 points per contest, 2.1 more than their season average of 70.4.
  • Northern Kentucky has played worse defensively over its last 10 games, ceding 75.1 points per contest, 3.3 more points than its season average of 71.8.
  • The Norse are making 7.3 three-pointers per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.6). That said, they have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (32.6%) compared to their season average from downtown (32.5%).

Northern Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-20-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 3-10-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 0-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-10-0; As Underdog: 2-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-16-1 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 6-6-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 8-4; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.4 (259th in nation) 44.8 (235th) 30.4 (276th) 32.0 (235th) 14.0 (146th) 11.5 (215th)
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