RJ Harvey hopes to make a difference for the Denver Broncos when they play the New England Patriots at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday in the AFC Championship Game of the NFL playoffs. Below, we take a look at Harvey’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you find the top bets for the player and this contest.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
RJ Harvey to go over 39.5 yards
RJ Harvey Prop Lines
- Matchup: Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- Date: January 25, 2026
- Rushing yards prop: Over 39.5 (-110)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 22.5 (-111)
RJ Harvey Stats and Trends
- Harvey has rushed for 540 total yards (31.8 ypg) on 146 attempts while scoring seven rushing TDs.
- Harvey is averaging 31.8 rushing yards in 2025, 7.7 less than Sunday’s over/under.
- Harvey has had more than 39.5 rushing yards in seven games this season (41.2%).
- He puts up 5.3 fewer yards per game than his average over/under (37.1).
- In six of 17 opportunities (35.3%), Harvey has gone beyond his rushing yards prop bet.
- He has scored multiple rushing touchdowns twice this season, and has scored in five games overall.
- Harvey also has caught 47 passes for 356 yards (20.9 ypg) while scoring five touchdowns in the passing game.
Recent Performances vs. the Patriots
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raiders | 56 | 1 |
| 2 | Dolphins | 61 | 0 |
| 3 | Steelers | 64 | 1 |
| 4 | Panthers | 129 | 0 |
| 5 | Bills | 118 | 0 |
| 6 | Saints | 73 | 1 |
| 7 | Titans | 39 | 0 |
| 8 | Browns | 68 | 0 |
| 9 | Falcons | 71 | 0 |
| 10 | Buccaneers | 113 | 0 |
| 11 | Jets | 140 | 1 |
| 12 | Bengals | 120 | 0 |
| 13 | Giants | 111 | 1 |
| 15 | Bills | 168 | 2 |
| 16 | Ravens | 171 | 3 |
| 17 | Jets | 164 | 1 |
| 18 | Dolphins | 63 | 0 |
| Playoffs | Chargers | 87 | 0 |
| Playoffs | Texans | 48 | 0 |
Broncos Home Splits
- The Broncos’ average points scored at home (25.6) is higher than their overall average (23.6). But their average points conceded at home (17.8) is lower than overall (18.3).
- The Broncos rack up 366.7 yards per game at home (24.1 more than their overall average), and concede 271.3 at home (6.9 less than overall).
- At home, the Broncos accumulate 243.7 passing yards per game and give up 182.9. That’s more than they gain overall (223.9), and less than they allow (187.2).
- At home, the Broncos accumulate 123 rushing yards per game and concede 88.4. That’s more than they gain overall (118.7), and less than they allow (91.1).
- The Broncos convert 40.8% of third downs at home (0.4% lower than their overall average), and give up 34.6% at home (0.8% higher than overall).
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