St. Thomas vs. North Dakota State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 26

Data Skrive

The North Dakota State Bison (23-6, 13-1 Summit League) visit the Saint Thomas Tommies (21-8, 10-4 Summit League) after winning seven straight road games. The Tommies are favored by 3.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 26, 2026. The point total for the matchup is 155.5.

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St. Thomas Cover -3.5 vs North Dakota State -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

St. Thomas vs. North Dakota State betting lines

  • St. Thomas moneyline odds to win: -180
  • North Dakota State moneyline odds to win: +146
  • Spread: St. Thomas (-3.5)
  • Total: 155.5

St. Thomas statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • At home, St. Thomas has a worse record against the spread (4-6-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (8-6-0).
  • Looking at over/unders, the Tommies hit the over more often in home games, as they’ve gone over the total seven times in 10 opportunities this season (70%). In away games, they have hit the over seven times in 14 opportunities (50%).
  • St. Thomas has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 9-1 (.900). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 7-2 (.778).

Recent trends

  • The Tommies’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 85.5 points per contest compared to the 83.8 they’ve averaged this season.
  • St. Thomas’ points-allowed average over its last 10 games (74.1) is 1.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (73.0).
  • The Tommies are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 10.8 threes per game and shooting 39.0% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.7 makes and 36.8% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

St. Thomas betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-14-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 10-10-0 (As Favorite: 11-10-0; As Underdog: 1-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-11-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 7-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-4 (Home: 9-1; Away: 7-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
51.3 (sixth in nation) 43.8 (158th) 30.1 (280th) 31.2 (198th) 17.0 (33rd) 9.1 (25th)

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North Dakota State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • North Dakota State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .600 (6-4-0). On the road, it is .643 (9-5-0).
  • Bison games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (five times out of 10) than away (eight of 14) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Bison are posting 81.6 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is the same number of points they’re averaging for the season.
  • While North Dakota State is surrendering 70.4 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark over its previous 10 games, allowing 70.2 points per contest.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Bison are draining 10.4 treys per game, 1.0 more than their season average (9.4). They also own a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (40.2%) compared to their season average (36.6%).

North Dakota State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-10-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 9-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 3-0-0 (As Favorite: 13-8-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-12-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 9-1; Away: 8-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.3 (57th in nation) 44.6 (200th) 33.0 (119th) 28.4 (39th) 15.6 (80th) 10.6 (136th)
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