The Sam Houston Bearkats (20-8, 12-5 CUSA) are 7.5-point favorites as they try to extend a seven-game home win streak when they host the Missouri State Bears (13-15, 7-10 CUSA) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum. The matchup airs at 5:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.
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Sam Houston Cover -7.5 vs Missouri State -110
Sam Houston vs. Missouri State betting lines
- Sam Houston moneyline odds to win: -341
- Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +266
- Spread: Sam Houston (-7.5)
- Total: 154.5
Sam Houston statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- When playing at home, Sam Houston sports a worse record against the spread (7-3-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (10-3-0).
- The Bearkats have eclipsed the over/under in five of 10 home games (50%). They’ve fared better in away games, going over the total in eight of 13 matchups (61.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Sam Houston has won nine of nine games at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. It has won one of two games on the road (.500) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Bearkats have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 82.0 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 83.4 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- Sam Houston has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 73.0 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 73.7 it has conceded per game this season.
- During their last 10 outings, the Bearkats are making 0.9 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.7 compared to 8.6 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (40.7% compared to 37.0% season-long).
Sam Houston betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-6-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 10-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 10-3-0; As Underdog: 9-3-0)
- O-U-P: 15-10-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 8-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 9-0; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 5-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (69th in nation) | 41.6 (51st) | 36.8 (21st) | 30.1 (123rd) | 15.8 (71st) | 11.6 (236th) |
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Missouri State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Missouri State has performed better against the spread away (7-5-0) than at home (6-7-0) this year.
- Bears games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (eight times out of 13) than away (seven of 12) this season.
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Bears are averaging 73.6 points per game, compared to their season average of 75.1.
- Missouri State is surrendering 74.6 points per contest in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 73.5 points allowed.
- Over their last 10 games, the Bears are making 7.7 threes per contest, 0.1 more than their season average (7.6). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (34.8%) compared to their season average (32.4%).
Missouri State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
- O-U-P: 15-10-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-6 (Home: 7-6; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.2 (247th in nation) | 45.2 (244th) | 30.9 (248th) | 30.6 (157th) | 14.2 (154th) | 11.1 (198th) |
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