The Samford Bulldogs (15-12, 8-6 SoCon) are big, 10.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a five-game winning streak when they visit the Citadel Bulldogs (9-18, 6-8 SoCon) on Thursday, February 19, 2026 at McAlister Field House. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is set at 143.5.
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Samford Cover -10.5 vs Citadel -112
Samford vs. Citadel betting lines
- Samford moneyline odds to win: -667
- Citadel moneyline odds to win: +455
- Spread: Samford (-10.5)
- Total: 143.5
Samford statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Samford has performed better when playing at home, covering six times in 10 home games, and seven times in 13 road games.
- Looking at point totals, the Samford Bulldogs hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total four times in 10 opportunities this season (40%). On the road, they have hit the over 10 times in 13 opportunities (76.9%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Samford has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.857) compared to road games (.750).
Recent trends
- The Samford Bulldogs have been scoring 78.8 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 78.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
- Samford’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (72.2) is 2.6 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (74.8).
- The Samford Bulldogs’ 9.1 made three-pointers per-game average in their past 10 games are less than the 9.3 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 36.8% compared to their season-long percentage of 34.5% from beyond the arc.
Samford betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 7-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-4-0; As Underdog: 6-7-0)
- O-U-P: 14-11-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 10-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (219th in nation) | 44.0 (175th) | 32.5 (158th) | 32.7 (278th) | 14.8 (123rd) | 8.3 (fifth) |
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Citadel statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Citadel has performed better against the spread at home (5-5-0) than away (6-7-0) this season.
- Citadel Bulldogs games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (four times out of 10) than away (six of 13) this season.
- This year the Citadel Bulldogs are 3-5 at home when moneyline underdogs (.375 winning percentage). Away they are 2-11 (.154).
Recent trends
- While the Citadel Bulldogs are putting up 69.1 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, amassing 67.6 points per contest.
- In its previous 10 games, Citadel is surrendering 72.4 points per contest, 3.8 fewer points than its season average (76.2).
- The Citadel Bulldogs are draining 9.1 threes per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 0.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.3). In addition, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (32.3%) compared to their season average from three-point land (32.4%).
Citadel betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-13-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 6-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 4-6-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 10-12-0)
- O-U-P: 10-14-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 6-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-1 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-17 (Home: 3-5; Away: 2-11)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.8 (330th in nation) | 47.8 (341st) | 29.9 (292nd) | 31.0 (181st) | 12.4 (293rd) | 10.2 (86th) |

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