The Air Force Falcons (3-19, 0-11 MWC) are heavy underdogs (by 21.5 points) to break a seven-game home losing streak when they host the San Diego State Aztecs (16-6, 10-2 MWC) on Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The point total is set at 138.5 in the matchup.

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San Diego State vs. Air Force betting lines

• San Diego State moneyline odds to win: -7143
• Air Force moneyline odds to win: +1763
• Spread: San Diego State (-21.5)
• Total: 138.5

San Diego State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• San Diego State has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered five times in 11 games when playing at home, and it has covered five times in six games on the road.
• In home games, the Aztecs eclipse the over/under 45.5% of the time (five of 11 games). They’ve hit the over in 33.3% of road games (two of six contests).
• San Diego State has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 10-1 (.909). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 4-1 (.800).

Recent trends

• In their last 10 games, the Aztecs have been putting up 77.3 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 79.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
• San Diego State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (68.8) is 1.8 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70.6).
• The Aztecs’ past 10 outings have seen them make 6.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 32.1% from deep. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 7.0 makes and 36.3%.

San Diego State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 11-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 5-1-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 21.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
• O-U-P: 9-12-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 2-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-2 (Home: 10-1; Away: 4-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)

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Air Force statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Air Force’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .385 (5-8-0). Away, it is .375 (3-5-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Falcons games have finished over more frequently at home (eight of 13, 61.5%) than on the road (four of eight, 50%).
• The Falcons’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .091 (1-10), and on the road it is .000 (0-8).

Recent trends

• The Falcons have played worse offensively in their previous 10 games, averaging 55.9 points per contest, 5.2 fewer points their than season average of 61.1.
• While Air Force is giving up 77.4 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 81.3 points per contest.
• The Falcons are sinking 6.3 three-pointers per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (6.4). In addition, they have a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (28.4%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (30.1%).

Air Force betting records this season

• ATS Record: 8-14-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 3-5-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 21.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 7-13-0)
• O-U-P: 12-10-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 4-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-19 (Home: 1-10; Away: 0-8)