ACC opponents meet when the SMU Mustangs (19-8, 8-6 ACC) visit the California Golden Bears (19-8, 7-7 ACC) at Haas Pavilion, starting at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 25, 2026. The Golden Bears are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 163.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.86
SMU Cover -4.5 vs Cal -112
SMU vs. Cal betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -199
- Cal moneyline odds to win: +161
- Spread: SMU (-4.5)
- Total: 163.5
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- SMU has done a better job covering the spread in away games (4-3-1) than it has in home games (8-9-0).
- In home games, the Mustangs eclipse the total 58.8% of the time (10 of 17 games). They’ve hit the over in 50% of away games (four of eight contests).
- SMU has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 14-0 (1.000). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 2-1 (.667).
Recent trends
- The Mustangs’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 84.1 points a contest compared to the 86.8 they’ve averaged this season.
- The last 10 games have seen SMU allow 0.9 more points per game (78.5) than its season-long average (77.6).
- The Mustangs are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 9.5 threes per game and shooting 41.3% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.3 makes and 37.9% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-13-1 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 4-3-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 7-9-0; As Underdog: 6-4-1)
- O-U-P: 16-11-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-1 (Home: 14-0; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0 (17th in nation) | 43.0 (106th) | 34.4 (63rd) | 30.9 (177th) | 17.9 (18th) | 10.7 (147th) |
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Cal statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This year, Cal is 7-10-0 at home against the spread (.412 winning percentage). On the road, it is 6-2-0 ATS (.750).
- Golden Bears games have gone above the over/under 35.3% of the time at home (six of 17), and 62.5% of the time on the road (five of eight).
- The Golden Bears, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-3) than on the road (2-5) this season.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Golden Bears are tallying 76.8 points per game, compared to their season average of 78.7.
- While Cal is allowing 72.7 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 77.3 points per contest.
- Over their previous 10 games, the Golden Bears are sinking 9.9 three-pointers per game, 0.7 more than their season average (9.2). They also have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (40.2%) compared to their season average (37.6%).
Cal betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 6-5-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
- O-U-P: 12-14-0 (Home: 6-11-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-0 (Home: 13-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (215th in nation) | 42.8 (95th) | 31.1 (242nd) | 32.3 (255th) | 13.9 (175th) | 9.7 (51st) |
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