SMU vs. Pittsburgh betting: College basketball preview for February 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The SMU Mustangs (18-5, 9-3 ACC) are 4.5-point favorites as they attempt to continue a four-game winning streak when they host the Pittsburgh Panthers (14-9, 5-7 ACC) on Tuesday, February 11, 2025 at Moody Coliseum. The matchup airs at 9:00 PM ET on ACC Network. The matchup’s point total is 149.5.

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SMU Cover -4.5 vs Pittsburgh -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

SMU vs. Pittsburgh betting lines

  • SMU moneyline odds to win: -185
  • Pittsburgh moneyline odds to win: +153
  • Spread: SMU (-4.5)
  • Total: 149.5

SMU statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • SMU has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (6-7-0) than it has in road affairs (3-4-0).
  • In terms of point totals, the Mustangs hit the over more often in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total 10 times in 13 opportunities this season (76.9%). On the road, they have hit the over three times in seven opportunities (42.9%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, SMU has won 10 of 11 games when playing at home, good for a .909 winning percentage. It has won five of six games on the road (.833) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Mustangs have been racking up 77.1 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • The past 10 games have seen SMU concede 0.9 more points per game (72.4) than its season-long average (71.5).
  • Over their past 10 contests, the Mustangs are making 0.1 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.2 compared to 8.3 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (38.5% compared to 38.9% season-long).

SMU betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 10-7-0 (As Favorite: 11-9-0; As Underdog: 0-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-9-0 (Home: 10-3-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-2 (Home: 10-1; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.0 (36th in nation) 40.4 (34th) 35.5 (33rd) 29.4 (81st) 16.3 (38th) 11.1 (164th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on SMU vs. Pittsburgh? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Pittsburgh statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Pittsburgh has a better winning percentage at home (.615, 8-5-0 record) than on the road (.375, 3-5-0).
  • Panthers games have finished above the over/under more often at home (seven times out of 13) than on the road (three of eight) this season.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Panthers are posting 70.0 points per game, compared to their season average of 78.0.
  • Pittsburgh has played worse defensively in its last 10 games, ceding 74.0 points per contest, 3.2 more points than its season average of 70.8.
  • The Panthers are making 0.7 fewer threes per contest in their past 10 games (7.7) compared to their season average (8.4), but they are posting a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (36.0%) compared to their season mark (35.9%).

Pittsburgh betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-11-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-11-1 (Home: 7-5-1; Away: 3-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-5 (Home: 10-3; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.5 (87th in nation) 43.6 (172nd) 30.8 (269th) 30.4 (136th) 13.6 (184th) 9.5 (24th)
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