The No. 11 seed SMU Mustangs (19-12, 8-10 ACC) are 4.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 14 seed Syracuse Orange (15-16, 6-12 ACC) in the ACC Tournament Tuesday at Spectrum Center, starting at 4:30 p.m. ET on ACC Network. The over/under in the matchup is set at 154.
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SMU Cover -4.5 vs Syracuse -111
SMU vs. Syracuse betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -200
- Syracuse moneyline odds to win: +162
- Spread: SMU (-4.5)
- Total: 154
SMU statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 81.6 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.4 points fewer than the 85.0 they’ve scored this year.
- SMU’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (80.2) is 1.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (78.4).
- The Mustangs’ past 10 outings have seen them make 9.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 40.8% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 8.4 makes and 37.8%.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-17-1 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 4-6-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 6-9-0 (As Favorite: 7-12-0; As Underdog: 6-5-1)
- O-U-P: 18-13-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 14-1; Away: 2-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3 (22nd in nation) | 43.5 (128th) | 34.1 (72nd) | 30.6 (150th) | 17.1 (27th) | 10.9 (189th) |
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Syracuse statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Orange are scoring 75.0 points per contest, 0.2 fewer points than their season average (75.2).
- Syracuse is allowing 82.3 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 8.4 more points than it is allowing for the season (73.9).
- The Orange are making 7.3 treys per contest with a 32.9% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.1 and 33.2%.
Syracuse betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-17-0 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 8-9-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
- O-U-P: 16-15-0 (Home: 7-11-0; Away: 7-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 10-4; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-11 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (95th in nation) | 44.1 (168th) | 30.8 (245th) | 33.3 (313th) | 12.6 (274th) | 10.6 (149th) |
BetDecider Team
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