The Texas State Bobcats (17-11, 9-6 Sun Belt) will attempt to build on a six-game win streak when they hit the road to play the South Alabama Jaguars (19-8, 9-5 Sun Belt) on Thursday, February 19, 2026 at Mitchell Center as 3.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 137.5 points.
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South Alabama Cover -3.5 vs Texas State -112
South Alabama vs. Texas State betting lines
- South Alabama moneyline odds to win: -195
- Texas State moneyline odds to win: +157
- Spread: South Alabama (-3.5)
- Total: 137.5
South Alabama statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- South Alabama has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (8-6-0) than it has at home (4-4-0).
- The Jaguars have eclipsed the total less often when playing at home, hitting the over in four of eight home matchups (50%). In road games, they have hit the over in nine of 14 games (64.3%).
- South Alabama has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 5-2 (.714). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 3-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Jaguars have seen an increase in scoring lately, putting up 75.3 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.8 points more than the 74.5 they’ve scored this year.
- South Alabama has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 72.8 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 69.4 it has surrendered this year.
- During their past 10 outings, the Jaguars are making 1.0 more three-pointer per game than their season long average (7.9 compared to 6.9 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (35.9% compared to 34.4% season-long).
South Alabama betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-12-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 8-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 2-6-0 (As Favorite: 5-7-0; As Underdog: 8-5-0)
- O-U-P: 14-11-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-2 (Home: 5-2; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-6 (Home: 1-0; Away: 5-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 (109th in nation) | 38.5 (sixth) | 31.8 (206th) | 34.3 (333rd) | 11.6 (328th) | 8.2 (third) |
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Texas State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Texas State has a better winning percentage at home (.714, 10-4-0 record) than on the road (.400, 4-6-0).
- Bobcats games have gone above the over/under 42.9% of the time at home (six of 14), and 70% of the time on the road (seven of 10).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Bobcats have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-1) than on the road (1-8).
Recent trends
- The Bobcats have played worse offensively over their previous 10 games, averaging 73.6 points per contest, 0.8 fewer points their than season average of 74.4.
- While Texas State is surrendering 70.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has bettered that mark over its previous 10 games, allowing 68.5 points per contest.
- The Bobcats are draining 4.6 treys per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (4.8). That said, they own a better three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (34.6%) compared to their season average from three-point land (32.9%).
Texas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 5-6-0 (As Favorite: 8-5-0; As Underdog: 6-7-0)
- O-U-P: 14-12-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-1 (Home: 11-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 2-1; Away: 1-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0 (75th in nation) | 44.0 (175th) | 32.3 (176th) | 26.9 (11th) | 13.4 (217th) | 12.0 (274th) |

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