The East Carolina Pirates (5-11, 0-3 AAC) are heavy underdogs (+18.5) as they attempt to stop a four-game losing streak when they visit the South Florida Bulls (10-6, 2-1 AAC) at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 14, 2026 at Yuengling Center. The game airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 156.5 points.
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South Florida Cover -18.5 vs East Carolina -110
South Florida vs. East Carolina betting lines
- South Florida moneyline odds to win: -2703
- East Carolina moneyline odds to win: +1250
- Spread: South Florida (-18.5)
- Total: 156.5
South Florida statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- South Florida has a better record against the spread when playing at home (4-2-0) than it does in road games (3-2-0).
- When it comes to over/unders, the Bulls hit the over less consistently at home, as they’ve gone over the total three times in six opportunities this season (50%). On the road, they have hit the over four times in five opportunities (80%).
- South Florida has performed worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 5-1, compared to going 2-0 away from home.
Recent trends
- The Bulls have been putting up 89.1 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 91.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
- The past 10 games have seen South Florida allow 0.8 fewer points per game (79.0) than its season-long average (79.8).
- The Bulls’ past 10 contests have seen them make 10.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.1% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 9.9 makes and 32.9%.
South Florida betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-8-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 18.5+: 3-0-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-6-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 4-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 5-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (225th in nation) | 42.9 (140th) | 38.6 (14th) | 32.4 (251st) | 17.4 (39th) | 11.5 (187th) |
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East Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- East Carolina’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .333 (3-6-0). Away, it is .000 (0-4-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Pirates games have finished over less frequently at home (four of nine, 44.4%) than on the road (three of four, 75%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Pirates have won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-2) and away (0-4).
Recent trends
- The Pirates are posting 67.8 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 0.6 fewer points than their average for the season (68.4).
- Over its last 10 games, East Carolina is surrendering 73.5 points per game, compared to its season average of 77.0 points allowed.
- The Pirates are draining 5.0 treys per contest in their last 10 games, which is 0.2 more than their average for the season (4.8). Likewise, they sport a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (27.3%) compared to their season average from three-point land (25.8%).
East Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 4-11-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 0-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 18.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 2-5-0; As Underdog: 2-6-0)
- O-U-P: 8-7-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 4-3; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-8 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.4 (342nd in nation) | 45.6 (289th) | 31.9 (230th) | 31.6 (209th) | 11.1 (344th) | 12.9 (303rd) |
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