The South Florida Bulls (6-5) are heavy favorites (-22) as they try to build on a three-game home win streak when they square off against the UMBC Retrievers (6-5) on Sunday, December 21, 2025 at Yuengling Center. The matchup airs at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
South Florida Cover -22 vs UMBC -108
South Florida vs. UMBC betting lines
- South Florida moneyline odds to win: -8333
- UMBC moneyline odds to win: +1825
- Spread: South Florida (-22)
- Total: 159.5
South Florida statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- South Florida had a worse record against the spread at home (4-10-0) than it did on the road (5-7-0) last season.
- The Bulls hit the over on the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (28.6%) than away games (33.3%) last year.
- South Florida performed better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home last season, putting up a home record of 8-2 home record, compared to going 0-2 on the road.
Last season stats
- At 74.4 points scored per game and 74.5 points allowed last season, the Bulls were 155th in the nation offensively and 251st defensively.
- On the glass, South Florida was 214th in the country in rebounds (31.3 per game) last season. It was 15th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.6 per game).
- With 14.3 assists per game last season, the Bulls were 119th in the nation.
South Florida betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-6-0 (Home: 3-1-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 22+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 6-5-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 3-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-2 (Home: 4-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.2 (284th in nation) | 43.8 (200th) | 37.0 (47th) | 32.9 (276th) | 16.2 (93rd) | 11.8 (198th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on South Florida vs. UMBC? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
UMBC statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, UMBC is 1-3-0 at home against the spread (.250 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-2-0 ATS (.600).
- Looking at the over/under, Retrievers games have finished over more often at home (two of four, 50%) than away (one of five, 20%).
- The Retrievers’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-1), and on the road it is .250 (1-3).
Last season stats
- The Retrievers ranked 38th in college basketball with 80.0 points per contest last year, but on defense they struggled, surrendering 78.8 points per game (22nd-worst in college basketball).
- UMBC ranked 294th in the nation with 30.0 rebounds per game, but it gave up 35.7 rebounds per game, which ranked sixth-worst in college basketball.
- The Retrievers put up 14.6 assists per game, which ranked them 99th in the nation.
UMBC betting records this season
- ATS Record: 4-5-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 22+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-3-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 3-6-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 1-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-1 (Home: 2-1; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.7 (124th in nation) | 43.4 (175th) | 32.5 (215th) | 31.2 (189th) | 13.9 (220th) | 12.4 (240th) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
