South Florida vs. Wichita State betting: AAC Tournament preview for March 15

Data Skrive

The AAC conference champion will be crowned and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket will be awarded on Sunday when the No. 1 seed South Florida Bulls (24-8, 15-3 AAC) and the No. 2 Wichita State Shockers (22-10, 13-5 AAC) play at 3:15 p.m. ET, live on ESPN. South Florida is listed as a 5.5-point favorite to claim the title. The matchup’s point total is set at 150.5.

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South Florida Cover -5.5 vs Wichita State -119

Bet $20, Payout $36.81

South Florida vs. Wichita State betting lines

  • South Florida moneyline odds to win: -271
  • Wichita State moneyline odds to win: +215
  • Spread: South Florida (-5.5)
  • Total: 150.5

South Florida statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Bulls have been scoring 85.5 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 88.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • South Florida’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (69.8) is 6.4 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (76.2).
  • The Bulls’ past 10 contests have seen them make 9.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 32.7% from deep. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 9.8 makes and 33.3%.

South Florida betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-14-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 11-8-0 (As Favorite: 14-12-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-16-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-5 (Home: 12-2; Away: 8-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.1 (244th in nation) 41.5 (42nd) 37.8 (fifth) 32.5 (267th) 17.3 (21st) 10.8 (171st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on South Florida vs. Wichita State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Wichita State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Shockers are scoring 79.0 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 0.7 more than their average for the season (78.3).
  • In its last 10 games, Wichita State is surrendering 70.1 points per contest, 0.3 fewer points than its season average (70.4).
  • Over their last 10 games, the Shockers are making 6.4 threes per contest, 1.0 fewer threes than their season average (7.4). They also sport a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (30.3%) compared to their season average (34.5%).

Wichita State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 20-10-0 (Home: 12-4-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 14-6-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 13-2; Away: 3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 4-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.5 (220th in nation) 42.2 (64th) 37.6 (sixth) 29.1 (66th) 11.7 (326th) 9.8 (61st)
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