Stanford vs. SMU betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 28

Data Skrive

The Stanford Cardinal (17-11, 6-9 ACC) are at home in ACC action against the SMU Mustangs (19-9, 8-7 ACC) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET. The Cardinal are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under for the matchup is set at 155.5.

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Stanford Cover -1.5 vs SMU -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

Stanford vs. SMU betting lines

  • Stanford moneyline odds to win: -122
  • SMU moneyline odds to win: +100
  • Spread: Stanford (-1.5)
  • Total: 155.5

Stanford statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In home games, Stanford owns a better record against the spread (8-9-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (3-5-0).
  • Looking at point totals, the Cardinal hit the over more often in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total eight times in 17 opportunities this season (47.1%). In road games, they have hit the over three times in eight opportunities (37.5%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Stanford has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.692) compared to away games (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Cardinal have seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 69.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 5.2 points fewer than the 75.1 they’ve scored this season.
  • Stanford has been more porous on defense as of late, giving up 73.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 72.3 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
  • While the Cardinal are connecting on more threes per game over their past 10 contests (9.1 per game) when compared to their season-long average (8.9), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (33.0% from deep over the last 10, 34.2% on the season).

Stanford betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 7-9-0 (As Favorite: 7-9-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-17-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 9-4; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-7 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.8 (308th in nation) 45.6 (262nd) 30.9 (248th) 30.3 (137th) 11.8 (320th) 10.0 (80th)

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SMU statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • SMU has performed better against the spread at home (8-9-0) than away (4-4-1) this season.
  • Mustangs games have gone above the over/under more often at home (10 times out of 17) than away (four of nine) this year.
  • The Mustangs, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-2) than on the road (1-4) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Mustangs have performed worse offensively in their last 10 games, tallying 84.2 points per contest, 2.0 fewer points their than season average of 86.2.
  • Over its last 10 games, SMU is ceding 78.6 points per game, 1.2 more points than its season average (77.4).
  • The Mustangs are draining 9.8 threes per game over their last 10 games, which is 1.5 more than their average for the season (8.3). Likewise, they have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (41.2%) compared to their season average from downtown (37.9%).

SMU betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-14-1 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 4-4-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 5-4-1 (As Favorite: 7-10-0; As Underdog: 6-4-1)
  • O-U-P: 16-12-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-2 (Home: 14-0; Away: 2-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.9 (17th in nation) 42.9 (100th) 34.6 (57th) 30.9 (179th) 17.8 (16th) 10.8 (165th)
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