The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (13-3, 6-1 Southland) are 8.5-point favorites as they look to continue an eight-game home win streak when they square off against the Incarnate Word Cardinals (8-8, 3-4 Southland) on Monday, January 12, 2026 at William R. Johnson Coliseum. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 141.5.

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SFA vs. Incarnate Word betting lines

• SFA moneyline odds to win: -441
• Incarnate Word moneyline odds to win: +338
• Spread: SFA (-8.5)
• Total: 141.5

SFA statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• SFA has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered six times in six opportunities at home, and it has covered six times in eight opportunities on the road.
• In terms of over/unders, the Lumberjacks hit the over more often at home, as they’ve exceeded the total two times in six opportunities this season (33.3%). In away games, they have hit the over two times in eight opportunities (25%).
• SFA has fared better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 5-0, compared to going 4-1 in away games.

Recent trends

• On the offensive side of the ball, the Lumberjacks have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 77.3 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 79.0 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
• The past 10 games have seen SFA allow 2.6 fewer points per game (62.5) than its season-long average (65.1).
• The Lumberjacks are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.1 threes per game and shooting 36.0% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.8 makes and 36.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

SFA betting records this season

• ATS Record: 12-2-0 (Home: 6-0-0; Away: 6-2-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 3-0-0 (As Favorite: 9-1-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
• O-U-P: 4-10-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 2-6-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 5-0; Away: 4-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)

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Incarnate Word statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• This year, Incarnate Word is 4-0-0 at home against the spread (1.000 winning percentage). On the road, it is 2-5-0 ATS (.286).
• Cardinals games have finished above the over/under more often at home (two times out of four) than away (three of seven) this year.
• When moneyline underdogs, the Cardinals have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than on the road (0-4).

Recent trends

• The Cardinals have played worse offensively in their previous 10 games, scoring 76.3 points per contest, 3.0 fewer points their than season average of 79.3.
• While Incarnate Word is ceding 72.1 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark in its previous 10 games, allowing 68.4 points per contest.
• The Cardinals are making 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game in their last 10 games (9.2) compared to their season average (9.4), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (39.1%) compared to their season mark (39.2%).

Incarnate Word betting records this season

• ATS Record: 7-6-0 (Home: 4-0-0; Away: 2-5-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-4-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
• O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 3-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-3)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-4)