The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (26-4, 19-2 Southland) are favored (by 8.5 points) to extend a six-game road winning streak when they visit the Incarnate Word Cardinals (12-18, 7-14 Southland) on Monday, March 2, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 144.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.87
SFA Cover -8.5 vs Incarnate Word -106
SFA vs. Incarnate Word betting lines
- SFA moneyline odds to win: -433
- Incarnate Word moneyline odds to win: +321
- Spread: SFA (-8.5)
- Total: 144.5
SFA statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- SFA has a worse record against the spread in home games (10-4-0) than it does in away games (11-3-0).
- The Lumberjacks have eclipsed the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in six of 14 home matchups (42.9%). On the road, they have hit the over in five of 14 games (35.7%).
- When playing at home, SFA has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 11-1 (.917). In away games, it is 9-1 (.900) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Lumberjacks have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 75.4 points per contest over that span compared to the 77.5 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
- The last 10 games have seen SFA concede 0.7 more points per game (66.5) than its season-long average (65.8).
- While the Lumberjacks are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (8.3 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (9.0), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (37.2% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 36.3% on the season).
SFA betting records this season
- ATS Record: 21-7-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 11-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 16-6-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
- O-U-P: 11-17-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 5-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-2 (Home: 11-1; Away: 9-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 2-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (191st in nation) | 41.7 (54th) | 34.3 (65th) | 29.0 (63rd) | 14.0 (164th) | 8.7 (eighth) |
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Incarnate Word statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Incarnate Word’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .455 (5-6-0). On the road, it is .286 (4-10-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Cardinals games have finished over six of 11 times at home (54.5%), and five of 14 on the road (35.7%).
- This year the Cardinals are 1-2 at home when moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). Away they are 2-7 (.222).
Recent trends
- While the Cardinals are posting 74.5 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 71.5 points per contest.
- Incarnate Word has fared worse defensively over its previous 10 games, ceding 76.7 points per contest, 3.1 more points than its season average of 73.6.
- The Cardinals are draining 8.7 threes per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.1 more than their average for the season (8.6). Likewise, they sport a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (39.9%) compared to their season average from downtown (38.0%).
Incarnate Word betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-17-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 4-10-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-9-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
- O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 5-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-8 (Home: 5-3; Away: 0-5)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 (227th in nation) | 46.9 (320th) | 31.0 (238th) | 28.8 (53rd) | 11.6 (331st) | 10.6 (147th) |
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