The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (25-3, 18-1 Southland) are heavy favorites (-11.5) as they look to build on a 15-game home win streak when they take on the New Orleans Privateers (14-15, 11-8 Southland) on Monday, February 23, 2026 at William R. Johnson Coliseum. The game airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under is set at 151.5 in the matchup.
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SFA Cover -11.5 vs New Orleans -113
SFA vs. New Orleans betting lines
- SFA moneyline odds to win: -943
- New Orleans moneyline odds to win: +608
- Spread: SFA (-11.5)
- Total: 151.5
SFA statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- When playing at home, SFA sports an identical winning percentage against the spread as it does in away games (.769).
- At home, the Lumberjacks exceed the over/under 46.2% of the time (six of 13 games). They’ve hit the over in 38.5% of games on the road (five of 13 contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, SFA has won a higher percentage of its games at home (1.000) compared to road games (.889).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Lumberjacks have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 77.1 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 77.7 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
- The last 10 games have seen SFA allow 1.7 more points per game (67.5) than its season-long average (65.8).
- The Lumberjacks’ last 10 outings have seen them make 9.4 three-pointers per game while shooting 40.2% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 9.3 makes and 36.9%.
SFA betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-6-0 (Home: 10-3-0; Away: 10-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 15-5-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
- O-U-P: 11-15-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 5-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-1 (Home: 11-0; Away: 8-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 2-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.3 (179th in nation) | 41.5 (51st) | 34.3 (67th) | 28.8 (54th) | 14.1 (165th) | 8.9 (13th) |
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New Orleans statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, New Orleans has a better winning percentage at home (.667, 6-3-0 record) than on the road (.526, 10-9-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Privateers games have gone over eight of nine times at home (88.9%), and 10 of 19 on the road (52.6%).
- This season the Privateers are 3-2 at home as moneyline underdogs (.600 winning percentage). Away they are 7-9 (.438).
Recent trends
- The Privateers are scoring 77.6 points per contest in their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 76.6.
- New Orleans has performed better defensively over its last 10 games, surrendering 73.8 points per contest, 4.9 fewer points than its season average of 78.7 allowed.
- The Privateers are making 4.5 three-pointers per game over their past 10 games, which is 2.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (6.6). Additionally, they own a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (30.8%) compared to their season average from downtown (33.8%).
New Orleans betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-12-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 10-9-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 3-5-0 (As Favorite: 3-3-0; As Underdog: 13-9-0)
- O-U-P: 18-10-0 (Home: 8-1-0; Away: 10-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-3 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 10-11 (Home: 3-2; Away: 7-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 (197th in nation) | 42.3 (78th) | 34.1 (78th) | 31.2 (199th) | 13.5 (209th) | 13.7 (349th) |
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