The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (15-3, 8-1 Southland) will look to continue a three-game winning streak when they visit the Nicholls State Colonels (8-10, 7-2 Southland) on Monday, January 19, 2026 at David R. Stopher Gymnasium as 4.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 144.5.
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SFA Cover -4.5 vs Nicholls State -105
SFA vs. Nicholls State betting lines
- SFA moneyline odds to win: -189
- Nicholls State moneyline odds to win: +157
- Spread: SFA (-4.5)
- Total: 144.5
SFA statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- SFA has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered seven times in seven opportunities at home, and it has covered six times in nine opportunities in road games.
- The Lumberjacks have gone over the total in two of seven home games (28.6%). They’ve done better in road games, going over the total in three of nine matchups (33.3%).
- SFA has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 6-0 (1.000). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 5-1 (.833).
Recent trends
- The Lumberjacks have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 77.9 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.1 points fewer than the 78.0 they’ve scored this year.
- SFA’s defense has been tougher as of late, as the team has allowed 62.4 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 64.8 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Lumberjacks are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 8.9 threes per game and shooting 34.4% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.2 makes and 35.3% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
SFA betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-3-0 (Home: 7-0-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 8-1-0 (As Favorite: 10-2-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 5-11-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 6-0; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.9 (213th in nation) | 40.8 (47th) | 35.9 (48th) | 28.8 (67th) | 14.7 (149th) | 8.9 (11th) |
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Nicholls State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, Nicholls State is 3-2-0 at home against the spread (.600 winning percentage). On the road, it is 5-7-0 ATS (.417).
- Colonels games have gone above the over/under 60% of the time at home (three of five), and 66.7% of the time on the road (eight of 12).
- In 2025-26 when moneyline underdogs, the Colonels have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 1-0 record) than away (.273, 3-8).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Colonels are averaging 81.7 points per game, 5.6 more than their season average (76.1).
- Over its last 10 games, Nicholls State is allowing 73.9 points per game, 3.2 fewer points than its season average (77.1).
- The Colonels are making 11.0 threes per game with a 38.1% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 9.7 and 36.1%.
Nicholls State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-9-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 5-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-5-0 (As Favorite: 2-3-0; As Underdog: 6-6-0)
- O-U-P: 11-6-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 8-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-2 (Home: 3-1; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 1-0; Away: 3-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (229th in nation) | 49.2 (356th) | 27.7 (348th) | 31.8 (226th) | 14.3 (180th) | 11.7 (213th) |
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