The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (17-3, 10-1 Southland) will try to build on a five-game win streak when they host the Northwestern State Demons (6-13, 4-6 Southland) on Tuesday, January 27, 2026 at William R. Johnson Coliseum as heavy, 14.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 4 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The over/under in the matchup is set at 142.5.
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SFA Cover -14.5 vs Northwestern State -110
SFA vs. Northwestern State betting lines
- SFA moneyline odds to win: -1515
- Northwestern State moneyline odds to win: +867
- Spread: SFA (-14.5)
- Total: 142.5
SFA statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- SFA has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in seven opportunities at home, and it has covered eight times in 11 opportunities in road games.
- When playing at home, the Lumberjacks eclipse the over/under 28.6% of the time (two of seven games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, going over the total in 36.4% of games (four of 11).
- When playing at home, SFA has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 6-0 (1.000). In away games, it is 7-1 (.875) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Lumberjacks have been scoring 78.1 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 78.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- The last 10 games have seen SFA give up 2.4 fewer points per game (63.1) than its season-long average (65.5).
- The Lumberjacks’ past 10 outings have seen them make 9.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are below their 2025-26 averages of 9.4 makes and 36.0%.
SFA betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-3-0 (Home: 7-0-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 12-2-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 6-12-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-1 (Home: 6-0; Away: 7-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.3 (177th in nation) | 40.7 (42nd) | 35.3 (60th) | 28.8 (66th) | 14.6 (150th) | 8.9 (10th) |
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Northwestern State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Northwestern State is 4-2-0 at home against the spread (.667 winning percentage). On the road, it is 7-4-0 ATS (.636).
- Demons games have gone above the over/under less often at home (two times out of six) than on the road (10 of 11) this season.
- This season the Demons are 3-3 at home when moneyline underdogs (.500 winning percentage). Away they are 1-10 (.091).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Demons are posting 74.6 points per game, 1.8 more than their season average (72.8).
- While Northwestern State is surrendering 77.3 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark in its past 10 games, allowing 72.5 points per contest.
- The Demons are draining 0.2 fewer threes per game in their last 10 games (6.4) compared to their season average (6.6), and they are posting an identical three-point percentage over their last 10 contests compared to their season mark (34.6%).
Northwestern State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-6-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 7-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 0-0-0; As Underdog: 11-6-0)
- O-U-P: 12-5-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 10-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-13 (Home: 3-3; Away: 1-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (151st in nation) | 48.7 (354th) | 26.2 (361st) | 30.3 (136th) | 12.5 (295th) | 11.3 (175th) |
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