SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 16

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (23-3, 16-1 Southland) visit the Texas A&M-CC Islanders (14-12, 10-7 Southland) after winning four straight road games. The Lumberjacks are favored by 4.5 points in the contest, which starts at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 16, 2026. The over/under for the matchup is set at 135.5.

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SFA Cover -4.5 vs Texas A&M-CC -116

Bet $20, Payout $37.24

SFA vs. Texas A&M-CC betting lines

  • SFA moneyline odds to win: -251
  • Texas A&M-CC moneyline odds to win: +201
  • Spread: SFA (-4.5)
  • Total: 135.5

SFA statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • SFA has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 10 times in 12 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered nine times in 12 opportunities on the road.
  • The Lumberjacks have eclipsed the total more consistently at home, hitting the over in five of 12 home matchups (41.7%). In road games, they have hit the over in four of 12 games (33.3%).
  • In home games, SFA has won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 10-0 (1.000). On the road, it is 7-1 (.875) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Lumberjacks have seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 75.2 points per game in their last 10 contests, 2.3 points fewer than the 77.5 they’ve scored this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen SFA give up 0.2 more points per game (65.4) than its season-long average (65.2).
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Lumberjacks are making 1.0 fewer three-pointer per game than their season long average (8.2 compared to 9.2 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.4% compared to 36.6% season-long).

SFA betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-5-0 (Home: 10-2-0; Away: 9-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 12-3-0 (As Favorite: 14-4-0; As Underdog: 5-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-15-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 4-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-1 (Home: 10-0; Away: 7-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 2-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (181st in nation) 41.1 (42nd) 34.7 (59th) 28.9 (61st) 14.1 (164th) 9.0 (17th)

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Texas A&M-CC statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Texas A&M-CC has a lower winning percentage at home (.375, 3-5-0 record) than away (.571, 8-6-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Islanders games have gone over less often at home (four of eight, 50%) than on the road (eight of 14, 57.1%).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Islanders have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (3-6).

Recent trends

  • The Islanders have performed worse offensively in their previous 10 games, posting 69.5 points per contest, 4.0 fewer points their than season average of 73.5.
  • Texas A&M-CC is allowing 67.5 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (68.0).
  • In their past 10 games, the Islanders are sinking 5.0 three-pointers per contest, 1.0 fewer threes than their season average (6.0). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (34.0%) compared to their season average (34.2%).

Texas A&M-CC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 2-4-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 5-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-10-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-5 (Home: 4-3; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.1 (185th in nation) 42.6 (93rd) 32.6 (154th) 29.7 (101st) 13.5 (213th) 12.3 (294th)
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