Thursday will feature a projected lopsided NHL outing between the home favorite Tampa Bay Lightning (36-21-4, -250 on the moneyline to win) and the Buffalo Sabres (24-30-6, +205 moneyline odds) at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Lightning vs. Sabres Betting Lines

• Favorite: Lightning (-250)
• Underdog: Sabres (+205)
• Over/under: 6.5

Lightning vs. Sabres Quick Facts

• Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over the current 6.5-goal total in 25 of 61 games this season.
• So far this season, 55.0% of Buffalo’s games (33/60) have had more goals than Thursday’s over/under of 6.5.
• Thursday’s over/under is 0.2 lower than the two teams’ combined average of 6.7 goals per game.
• The 6.1 goals per game that these two teams give up combined are 0.4 less than the 6.5-goal total set for this match.

Lightning Stats, Moneyline & Leaders

Lightning Season Stat Insights

• The Lightning score the second-most goals in the league, averaging 3.6 per game for a total of 217 this season.
• On defense, Tampa Bay has been one of the best units in NHL play, allowing 159 total goals to rank fourth.
• With a +58 goal differential, they’re ranked third-best in the league.
• The 46 power-play goals Tampa Bay has scored this season have come on 175 chances, fifth-best in the NHL.
• The Lightning have the league’s seventh-best power-play conversion rate at 26.29%.
• Tampa Bay’s 10 shorthanded goals this season rank third in the league.
• The Lightning’s 81.05% penalty-kill success rate is currently 10th-best in the league.
• The Lightning win 50.3% of their faceoffs (17th in the league).
• Tampa Bay converts 12.3% of its shots, ranking second in the league.
• The Lightning’s players are still looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 18 hits and 14.5 blocked shots per game.

Lightning Moneyline

• Through 44 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has been victorious 30 times.
• The Lightning have won four of the six games they have played with moneyline odds lower than -250.
• Per the moneyline odds, Tampa Bay has a 71.4% chance of winning this contest.

Lightning Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov: 28 goals and 61 assists
• Brandon Hagel: 30 goals and 38 assists
• Brayden Point: 32 goals and 32 assists
• Andrei Vasilevskiy: 29-16-3 record, .923 save percentage, 103 goals allowed

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Sabres Stats, Moneyline & Leaders

Sabres Season Stats Insights

• The Sabres’ 189 total goals (3.2 per game) rank 12th in the NHL.
• Buffalo has given up 207 total goals (3.4 per game) to rank 29th.
• They have a -18 goal differential, which ranks 21st in the league.
• Buffalo has recorded 29 power-play goals this season (on 173 chances). That ranks 25th in the NHL.
• The Sabres have the league’s 27th-ranked power-play conversion rate of 16.76%.
• Buffalo has recorded four shorthanded goals.
• The 76.92% penalty-kill percentage the Sabres have amassed is the league’s 19th-ranked rate.
• The Sabres win 48.2% of their faceoffs. That’s the 26th-ranked rate in the NHL.
• Buffalo is shooting 11.3% (seventh in the league).
• The Sabres have not shut out an opponent this season. They average 21.9 hits and 14.7 blocked shots per game.

Sabres Moneyline Insights

• The Sabres have been an underdog in 39 games this season, with 14 upset wins (35.9%).
• Buffalo has played with moneyline odds of +205 or longer once this season and lost that game.
• The moneyline in this contest implies a 32.8% chance for the Sabres to win.

Sabres Leaders

• Tage Thompson: 30 goals and 23 assists
• John-Jason Peterka: 19 goals and 30 assists
• Rasmus Dahlin: 10 goals and 38 assists
• Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen: 20-18-4 record, .892 save percentage, 128 goals conceded