Thursday’s NHL slate features a matchup between the heavily favored Tampa Bay Lightning (33-20-4) and the Calgary Flames (28-21-8) at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. The Lightning are -225 on the moneyline to win at home against the Flames (+185) in the game, which begins at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Lightning vs. Flames Betting Lines

• Favorite: Lightning (-225)
• Underdog: Flames (+185)
• Over/under: 5.5

Lightning vs. Flames Quick Facts

• Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over the current 5.5-goal total in 31 of 57 games this season.
• Calgary’s games have gone over 5.5 goals in 25 of 57 chances this season.
• These two teams combine to average 6.2 goals per game, 0.7 more than the total set for this match.
• These two teams concede a combined 5.6 goals per game, 0.1 more than this game’s over/under.

Lightning Stats, Moneyline & Leaders

Lightning Season Stat Insights

• The Lightning create the third-most goals in the NHL, averaging 3.6 per game for a total of 204 this season.
• Tampa Bay is ranked sixth in league play for the fewest goals against this season, having given up 154 in total (2.7 per game).
• With a +50 goal differential, they’re ranked third-best in the league.
• The 43 power-play goals Tampa Bay has recorded this season have come on 159 chances, fifth-best in the NHL.
• The Lightning have the NHL’s fourth-best power-play conversion rate at 27.04%.
• Tampa Bay’s 10 shorthanded goals this season rank second in the league.
• The Lightning rank 12th in the league in penalty-kill success rate at 80.28%.
• The Lightning win 50.6% of their faceoffs (15th in the NHL).
• Tampa Bay has a 12.3% shooting percentage as a team, ranking third in the NHL.
• The Lightning’s players are looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 18.4 hits and 14.4 blocked shots per game.

Lightning Moneyline

• Through 41 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has won 27 times.
• The Lightning have been victorious in six of the nine games they have played with moneyline odds lower than -225.
• Tampa Bay has a 69.2% chance of winning this game, per the moneyline odds.

Lightning Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov: 26 goals and 58 assists
• Brandon Hagel: 28 goals and 37 assists
• Brayden Point: 31 goals and 29 assists
• Andrei Vasilevskiy: 27-15-3 record, .920 save percentage, 100 goals allowed

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Flames Stats, Moneyline & Leaders

Flames Season Stats Insights

• The Flames have scored 151 goals this season (2.6 per game) to rank 29th in the NHL.
• Calgary has conceded 2.9 goals per game, and 167 total, which ranks 12th among all NHL teams.
• Their -16 goal differential ranks 22nd in the league.
• Calgary has scored 36 power-play goals this season (16th in the NHL) on 165 chances.
• The Flames’ power-play conversion rate (21.82%) ranks 16th in the league.
• Calgary has scored five shorthanded goals.
• The 73.05% penalty-kill percentage the Flames have registered is the league’s 28th-ranked rate.
• The Flames have the 29th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL (46.1%).
• Calgary’s collective 9.1% shooting percentage ranks 30th in the league.
• The Flames have not had a shutout win yet this season.

Flames Moneyline Insights

• The Flames have been the underdog 37 times this season, and upset their opponent in 13, or 35.1%, of those games.
• Calgary is 1-4 when it is the underdog by +185 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Flames have a 35.1% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).

Flames Leaders

• Jonathan Huberdeau: 22 goals and 21 assists
• Nazem Kadri: 19 goals and 24 assists
• MacKenzie Weegar: six goals and 26 assists
• Dustin Wolf: 20-11-3 record, .913 save percentage, 89 goals conceded