Sunday’s NHL matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning (20-11-2) and the Montreal Canadiens (15-17-3) at Amalie Arena sees the Lightning as heavy home favorites (-250 moneyline odds to win) against the Canadiens (+205). The game begins at 5:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Lightning vs. Canadiens Betting Lines

• Favorite: Lightning (-250)
• Underdog: Canadiens (+205)
• Over/under: 6.5

Lightning vs. Canadiens Quick Facts

• Tampa Bay’s games this season have gone over 6.5 goals 15 of 33 times.
• Montreal’s games have gone over 6.5 goals in 18 of 35 chances this season.
• These two teams combine to average 7.0 goals per game, 0.5 more than the total set for this match.
• This game’s over/under is 0.2 more than the 6.2 goals these two teams concede per game combined.

Lightning Stats, Moneyline & Leaders

Lightning Season Stat Insights

• The Lightning offense’s 132 total goals (four per game) are ranked second in the league this year.
• Tampa Bay has allowed the third-fewest goals in league action this season, 91 (2.8 per game).
• The team’s goal differential is second-best in the league at +41.
• The 28 power-play goals Tampa Bay has recorded this season have come on 101 chances, sixth-best in the NHL.
• The Lightning’s offense ranks third the league with a 27.72% power-play conversion rate.
• Tampa Bay’s offense has scored seven shorthanded goals this season (second among all squads).
• The Lightning rank 13th in the NHL in penalty-kill success rate at 81.05%.
• The Lightning’s players win 51.1% of their faceoffs to rank 14th in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay converts 14.2% of its shots as a team, the No. 1 percentage in the league.
• The Lightning’s players are still looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 16.3 hits and 15.2 blocked shots per game.

Lightning Moneyline

• In 21 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has won 15 times.
• The Lightning have won every game they’ve played this season with moneyline odds lower than -250.
• There is a 71.4% chance that Tampa Bay wins this game, per the moneyline.

Lightning Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov: 16 goals and 36 assists
• Brayden Point: 23 goals and 19 assists
• Brandon Hagel: 16 goals and 24 assists
• Andrei Vasilevskiy: 16-10-1 record, .912 save percentage, 63 goals allowed

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Canadiens Stats, Moneyline & Leaders

Canadiens Season Stats Insights

• The Canadiens’ 104 total goals (3.0 per game) rank 22nd in the NHL.
• Montreal has allowed 3.5 goals per game, and 122 total, which ranks 28th among all NHL teams.
• Their 24th-ranked goal differential is -18.
• Montreal has put up 24 power-play goals this season (on 110 chances). That’s the ninth-most in the NHL.
• The Canadiens have the NHL’s 16th-ranked power-play conversion rate of 21.82%.
• Montreal has recorded four shorthanded goals.
• The Canadiens’ ninth-best penalty kill rate is 82.11%.
• The Canadiens have the NHL’s 22nd-ranked faceoff win percentage (48.8%).
• The 12% shooting percentage Montreal has compiled ranks fifth in the league.
• The Canadiens have not shut out an opponent this season. They average 22.9 hits and 17.4 blocked shots per game.

Canadiens Moneyline Insights

• The Canadiens have claimed an upset victory in 13, or 39.4%, of the 33 games they have played as an underdog this season.
• Montreal has gone 2-6 when oddsmakers have made them underdogs of +205 or longer on the moneyline.
• The win probability for the Canadiens, implied from the moneyline, is 32.8%.

Canadiens Leaders

• Nicholas Suzuki: 11 goals and 24 assists
• Cole Caufield: 18 goals and 15 assists
• Lane Hutson: two goals and 22 assists
• Samuel Montembeault: 12-14-2 record, .901 save percentage, 74 goals allowed