Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 16

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Abilene Christian Wildcats (12-13, 4-8 WAC) visit the Tarleton State Texans (12-13, 3-9 WAC) after losing four road games in a row. The Texans are favored by just 1.5 points in the contest, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 16, 2026. The matchup’s over/under is 133.5.

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Tarleton State Cover -1.5 vs Abilene Christian -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian betting lines

  • Tarleton State moneyline odds to win: -125
  • Abilene Christian moneyline odds to win: +103
  • Spread: Tarleton State (-1.5)
  • Total: 133.5

Tarleton State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Tarleton State has fared worse when playing at home, covering four times in eight home games, and eight times in 13 road games.
  • In terms of over/unders, the Texans hit the over more often in home games, as they’ve eclipsed the total four times in eight opportunities this season (50%). On the road, they have hit the over six times in 13 opportunities (46.2%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Tarleton State has the same winning percentage when playing at home compared to when playing on the road (.667).

Recent trends

  • The Texans have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 69.1 points per game in their last 10 outings, 6.6 points fewer than the 75.7 they’ve scored this year.
  • Tarleton State has been less stingy on defense as of late, giving up 74.8 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 72.9 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2025-26 season.
  • Over their past 10 contests, the Texans are making 1.2 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (3.5 compared to 4.7 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (27.1% compared to 31.7% season-long).

Tarleton State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-9-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-3-0; As Underdog: 6-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-11-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 4-2; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (162nd in nation) 45.2 (247th) 29.0 (321st) 31.1 (189th) 11.3 (337th) 14.0 (357th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Abilene Christian statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Abilene Christian has performed better against the spread on the road (6-5-0) than at home (4-5-0) this season.
  • Wildcats games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (five times out of nine) than on the road (five of 11) this year.
  • The Wildcats, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-1) than away (2-7) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Wildcats have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, putting up 67.0 points per contest, 3.4 fewer points their than season average of 70.4.
  • In its last 10 games, Abilene Christian is allowing 72.0 points per game, 1.1 more points than its season average (70.9).
  • The Wildcats are making 6.3 three-pointers per contest in their past 10 games, which is 0.1 more than their average for the season (6.2). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (34.1%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (33.2%).

Abilene Christian betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 7-5-0 (As Favorite: 4-6-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-11-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-5 (Home: 3-3; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 2-1; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.7 (271st in nation) 48.1 (345th) 28.7 (329th) 27.3 (16th) 13.4 (218th) 13.4 (341st)
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