The TCU Horned Frogs (10-3, 0-0 Big 12) take a five-game winning streak into a home matchup with the Baylor Bears (10-2, 0-0 Big 12), winners of four straight. The Bears are underdogs by only 2.5 points in the contest, which tips at 2 p.m. ET (on TNT) on Saturday, January 3, 2026. The matchup has a point total of 152.
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TCU Cover -2.5 vs Baylor -106
TCU vs. Baylor betting lines
- TCU moneyline odds to win: -136
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: +114
- Spread: TCU (-2.5)
- Total: 152
TCU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- TCU covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games last season. TCU covered nine times in 17 opportunities at home, and it covered three times in 11 opportunities on the road.
- The Horned Frogs exceeded the over/under in five of 17 home games (29.4%) last season. They fared better in road games, eclipsing the total in four of 11 matchups (36.4%).
Last season stats
- At 67.6 points scored per game and 68.7 points allowed last season, the Horned Frogs were 326th in the country on offense and 74th on defense.
- Last year, TCU was 221st in the nation in rebounds (31.2 per game) and 164th in rebounds conceded (30.9).
- Last season the Horned Frogs were ranked 279th in college basketball in assists with 12.2 per game.
TCU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-6-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 0-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 4-6-0 (As Favorite: 4-6-0; As Underdog: 3-0-0)
- O-U-P: 5-8-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 0-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 7-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 (119th in nation) | 41.5 (87th) | 32.6 (214th) | 27.6 (43rd) | 16.8 (68th) | 10.6 (101st) |
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Baylor statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Baylor had a better winning percentage at home (.533, 8-7-0 record) than away (.091, 1-9-1).
- Bears games went above the over/under 60% of the time at home (nine of 15) last season, and 45.5% of the time away (five of 11).
- The Bears, as moneyline underdogs, won the same percentage of games at home (0-1) as away (0-7) last season.
Last season stats
- Last season the Bears averaged 76.1 points per game (112th-ranked in college basketball) and gave up 69.8 points per contest (104th-ranked).
- Baylor grabbed 32.8 boards per game (135th-ranked in college basketball). It gave up 29.9 rebounds per contest (94th-ranked).
- The Bears averaged 14.4 assists per game, which ranked them 111th in the country.
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-5-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
- O-U-P: 8-3-0 (Home: 6-1-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.1 (11th in nation) | 42.3 (123rd) | 38.9 (17th) | 27.2 (35th) | 18.8 (20th) | 10.8 (116th) |
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