Big 12 foes meet when the TCU Horned Frogs (18-10, 8-7 Big 12) visit the Kansas State Wildcats (11-17, 2-13 Big 12) at Bramlage Coliseum, starting at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The Wildcats are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 158.5 points.
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TCU Cover -3.5 vs Kansas State -108
TCU vs. Kansas State betting lines
- TCU moneyline odds to win: -172
- Kansas State moneyline odds to win: +142
- Spread: TCU (-3.5)
- Total: 158.5
TCU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- TCU has done a better job covering the spread in away games (4-3-0) than it has in home games (8-10-0).
- When playing at home, the Horned Frogs exceed the total 44.4% of the time (eight of 18 games). They hit the over more consistently in away games, eclipsing the total in 57.1% of games (four of seven).
- As a moneyline favorite, TCU has taken 12 of 14 games at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. It has won zero of three games away from home (.000) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Horned Frogs have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 75.8 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 78.3 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
- TCU’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (76.4) is 4.4 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.0).
- The Horned Frogs’ past 10 contests have seen them make 6.4 three-pointers per game while shooting 32.0% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down compared to their 2025-26 averages of 7.4 makes and 33.4%.
TCU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 6-9-0 (As Favorite: 7-11-0; As Underdog: 8-2-0)
- O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 8-10-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-5 (Home: 12-2; Away: 0-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-5 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 (207th in nation) | 44.5 (196th) | 32.3 (168th) | 29.5 (85th) | 15.8 (71st) | 10.6 (139th) |
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Kansas State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Kansas State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .250 (4-12-0). On the road, it is .500 (5-5-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Wildcats games have finished over more frequently at home (nine of 16, 56.2%) than away (four of 10, 40%).
- In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats have a better winning percentage at home (.200, 1-4 record) than away (.100, 1-9).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Wildcats are posting 69.8 points per game, 10.1 fewer points than their season average (79.9).
- Kansas State is ceding 82.4 points per game over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 81.1 points allowed.
- The Wildcats are draining 8.1 treys per game in their past 10 games, which is 1.4 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.5). In addition, they have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (34.2%) compared to their season average from downtown (36.0%).
Kansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-17-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 5-7-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 8-9-0)
- O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 6-3; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-14 (Home: 1-4; Away: 1-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (151st in nation) | 45.4 (253rd) | 30.7 (254th) | 33.8 (328th) | 17.3 (26th) | 12.3 (299th) |
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