Tennessee State vs. Morehead State betting: College basketball preview for February 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Tennessee State Tigers (14-15, 10-8 OVC) are 5.5-point favorites as they try to build on a five-game home winning streak when they take on the Morehead State Eagles (14-15, 9-9 OVC) on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at Gentry Center. The game airs at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is set at 140.5 for the matchup.

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Tennessee State Cover -5.5 vs Morehead State -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Tennessee State vs. Morehead State betting lines

  • Tennessee State moneyline odds to win: -262
  • Morehead State moneyline odds to win: +213
  • Spread: Tennessee State (-5.5)
  • Total: 140.5

Tennessee State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Tennessee State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered six times in 10 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered eight times in 14 opportunities in road games.
  • The Tigers have exceeded the total more often at home, hitting the over in nine of 10 home matchups (90%). On the road, they have hit the over in seven of 14 games (50%).
  • Tennessee State has played worse as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 7-1, compared to going 1-0 away from home.

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Tigers have increased their production slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 79.8 points per contest over that span compared to the 79.3 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
  • The past 10 games have seen Tennessee State allow 0.2 fewer points per game (74.6) than its season-long average (74.8).
  • During their last 10 outings, the Tigers are making 0.8 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.6 compared to 6.8 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (36.5% compared to 32.2% season-long).

Tennessee State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 4-0-0 (As Favorite: 7-3-0; As Underdog: 7-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-8-0 (Home: 9-1-0; Away: 7-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-14 (Home: 0-2; Away: 3-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.3 (98th in nation) 42.0 (79th) 38.2 (fourth) 31.2 (190th) 13.7 (181st) 14.9 (359th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Tennessee State vs. Morehead State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Morehead State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Morehead State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .250 (3-9-0). On the road, it is .571 (8-6-0).
  • Eagles games have finished above the over/under more often at home (six times out of 12) than on the road (five of 14) this season.
  • The Eagles, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (4-8) this year.

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Eagles are posting 62.1 points per game, compared to their season average of 66.8.
  • Morehead State is giving up 71.6 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 69.5 points allowed.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Eagles are making 5.8 three-pointers per contest, 0.1 fewer threes than their season average (5.9). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (29.3%) compared to their season average (31.1%).

Morehead State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-16-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 8-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-15-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 5-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-5 (Home: 5-3; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 4-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.1 (316th in nation) 44.3 (214th) 33.5 (88th) 29.0 (58th) 11.8 (307th) 10.8 (134th)
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