Tennessee vs. Kentucky betting: College basketball preview for January 28

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (17-3, 4-3 SEC) are heavy favorites (-10.5) as they look to continue a 13-game home winning streak when they host the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (14-5, 3-3 SEC) on Tuesday, January 28, 2025 at Thompson-Boling Arena. The contest airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN. The point total is set at 146.5 for the matchup.

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Tennessee Cover -10.5 vs Kentucky -116

Bet $20, Payout $37.24

Tennessee vs. Kentucky betting lines

  • Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -617
  • Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +447
  • Spread: Tennessee (-10.5)
  • Total: 146.5

Tennessee statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Tennessee sports a better record against the spread when playing at home (8-3-0) than it does in road games (3-3-0).
  • When playing at home, the Volunteers exceed the total 45.5% of the time (five of 11 games). They’ve hit the over in 33.3% of road games (two of six contests).
  • Tennessee has fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 10-0, compared to going 2-1 on the road.

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Volunteers have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 69.4 points per contest over that span compared to the 75.1 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • Tennessee’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 58.8 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 58.4 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • During their past 10 outings, the Volunteers are making 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.2 compared to 8.6 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (32.0% compared to 34.2% season-long).

Tennessee betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-7-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 3-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 8-4-0 (As Favorite: 11-6-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-13-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 2-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-1 (Home: 10-0; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.2 (158th in nation) 36.0 (first) 35.3 (49th) 26.8 (11th) 15.8 (66th) 10.2 (68th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Tennessee vs. Kentucky? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Kentucky has performed better at home (6-6-0) than on the road (1-3-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Wildcats games have finished over eight of 12 times at home (66.7%), and one of four on the road (25%).

Recent trends

  • While the Wildcats are averaging 88.1 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, tallying 84.1 points per contest.
  • Kentucky is allowing 80.8 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 4.8 more points than it is allowing for the season (76.0).
  • The Wildcats are making 0.1 fewer treys per game over their previous 10 games (10.0) compared to their season average (10.1), but they are delivering a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (37.7%) compared to their season mark (36.9%).

Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-10-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 1-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-9-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 1-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 11-1; Away: 0-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.4 (30th in nation) 41.9 (99th) 36.5 (25th) 32.4 (254th) 18.3 (ninth) 9.8 (34th)
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