The No. 6 seed Tennessee Volunteers (23-11) are 1.5-point favorites as they look to earn a trip to the Sweet 16 in an NCAA Tournament second round Midwest Region bracket matchup against the No. 3 seed Virginia Cavaliers (30-5) on Sunday at Xfinity Mobile Arena, starting at 6:10 p.m. ET on TNT. The point total for the matchup is 137.5.
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Tennessee Cover -1.5 vs Virginia 101
Tennessee vs. Virginia betting lines
- Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -116
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: -105
- Spread: Tennessee (-1.5)
- Total: 137.5
Tennessee statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Volunteers have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 74.7 points per game in their last 10 contests, 4.7 points fewer than the 79.4 they’ve scored this season.
- Tennessee’s defense has been tougher as of late, as the team has given up 67.6 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 69.0 points per game its opponents average this season.
- The Volunteers are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 5.3 threes per game and shooting 30.1% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.6 makes and 33.8% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-19-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 12-16-0 (As Favorite: 12-16-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 16-18-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-8 (Home: 14-3; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.4 (103rd in nation) | 40.8 (27th) | 39.5 (third) | 25.9 (second) | 16.9 (28th) | 11.2 (211th) |
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Virginia statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Cavaliers are scoring 78.9 points per game, compared to their season average of 80.7.
- Virginia is giving up 71.4 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 68.5 points allowed.
- The Cavaliers are making 10.8 treys per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 0.6 more than their average for the season (10.2). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (38.6%) compared to their season average from downtown (36.3%).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-17-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 14-16-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
- O-U-P: 16-19-0 (Home: 6-11-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 25-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.4 (103rd in nation) | 39.6 (13th) | 36.5 (20th) | 28.5 (39th) | 16.4 (44th) | 10.4 (120th) |

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