NFL play for Week 16 includes the Carolina Panthers and Tetairoa McMillan facing off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. With prop bets available for McMillan in this matchup, let’s break down the stats and trends that will help determine the best bets for this game.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Tetairoa McMillan to go over 57.5 yards
Tetairoa McMillan Prop Lines
- Matchup: Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 21, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 57.5 (-113)
Tetairoa McMillan Stats and Trends
- McMillan has posted a team-best 851 yards (on 59 catches) with six TDs so far this season. He’s been targeted 102 times, producing 60.8 yards per game.
- McMillan’s 60.8 receiving yards average is 3.3 more than his prop total for Sunday’s game.
- McMillan has put up over 57.5 receiving yards in seven out of 14 games this year.
- He picks up 60.8 receiving yards per game, 0.5 more than his average prop total (60.3).
- McMillan has hit the over on his receiving yards prop bet in 42.9% of his games (six of 14).
- In four of 14 games this year, he has a touchdown catch (with more than one TD on two of those occasions).
Recent Performances vs. the Buccaneers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcons | 289 | 1 |
| 2 | Texans | 182 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 168 | 2 |
| 4 | Eagles | 112 | 2 |
| 5 | Seahawks | 341 | 4 |
| 6 | 49ers | 296 | 0 |
| 7 | Lions | 215 | 1 |
| 8 | Saints | 227 | 0 |
| 10 | Patriots | 269 | 2 |
| 11 | Bills | 317 | 3 |
| 12 | Rams | 263 | 3 |
| 13 | Cardinals | 291 | 2 |
| 14 | Saints | 121 | 0 |
| 15 | Falcons | 365 | 3 |
Panthers Home Splits
- The Panthers’ average points scored (22.3) and allowed (22.7) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 18.9 and 22.6, respectively.
- The Panthers accumulate 304.8 yards per game at home (4.2 less than their overall average), and give up 341.5 at home (10 more than overall).
- The Panthers’ average yards passing at home (152.2) is lower than their overall average (183.4). But their average yards conceded at home (224.8) is higher than overall (215.5).
- The Panthers accumulate 152.7 rushing yards per game at home (27.1 more than their overall average), and concede 116.7 at home (0.7 more than overall).
- The Panthers convert 38.5% of third downs in home games (0.6% higher than their overall average), and concede 44.4% at home (0.4% lower than overall).
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