Texas vs. Mississippi State betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 3

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Texas Longhorns (9-4, 0-0 SEC) are 8.5-point favorites as they look to build on a three-game home win streak when they take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-5, 0-0 SEC) on Saturday, January 3, 2026 at Moody Center. The contest airs at 6 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The matchup has a point total of 157.5.

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Spread

Texas Cover -8.5 vs Mississippi State -122

Bet $20, Payout $36.39

Texas vs. Mississippi State betting lines

  • Texas moneyline odds to win: -459
  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +350
  • Spread: Texas (-8.5)
  • Total: 157.5

Texas statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Texas covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games last year. Texas covered eight times in 18 games when playing at home, and it covered five times in 10 games when playing on the road.
  • The Longhorns hit the over on the over/under in 12 of 18 home games (66.7%) last year, compared to six of 10 road games (60%).
  • Texas won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home last year, going 10-4 (.714). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it had a record of 2-1 (.667).

Last season stats

  • The Longhorns were 65th in college basketball in points scored (78.5 per game) and 199th in points allowed (72.6) last season.
  • On the glass, Texas was 142nd in college basketball in rebounds (32.7 per game) last season. It was 187th in rebounds conceded (31.3 per game).
  • Last season the Longhorns were ranked 227th in the country in assists with 12.9 per game.

Texas betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-5-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 6-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-5-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-2 (Home: 5-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.9 (28th in nation) 41.7 (90th) 39.2 (13th) 25.8 (eighth) 13.8 (220th) 11.4 (166th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Texas vs. Mississippi State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Last season, Mississippi State was 6-9-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). On the road, it was 6-5-0 ATS (.545).
  • Looking at the over/under, Bulldogs games finished over nine of 15 times at home (60%) and seven of 11 on the road (63.6%) last year.

Last season stats

  • With 79.5 points per game on offense, the Bulldogs were 47th in the country last season. Defensively, they ceded 74.2 points per contest, which ranked 245th in college basketball.
  • Mississippi State ranked 28th in the country with 35.2 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 283rd with 32.8 rebounds allowed per game.
  • Last season the Bulldogs ranked 69th in college basketball in assists, delivering 15.2 per game.

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 4-9-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-4 (Home: 6-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.7 (169th in nation) 41.2 (76th) 37.7 (28th) 35.5 (337th) 13.3 (257th) 11.5 (177th)
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