Texas State vs. Southern Miss betting: Sun Belt Tournament preview for March 6

Data Skrive

The No. 5 seed Texas State Bobcats (19-12, 11-7 Sun Belt) and the No. 8 seed Southern Miss Golden Eagles (17-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) face off in the Sun Belt Tournament Friday at Pensacola Bay Center, beginning at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Texas State is favored by 1.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s point total is set at 139.5.

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Texas State Cover -1.5 vs Southern Miss -101

Bet $20, Payout $39.80

Texas State vs. Southern Miss betting lines

  • Texas State moneyline odds to win: -118
  • Southern Miss moneyline odds to win: -101
  • Spread: Texas State (-1.5)
  • Total: 139.5

Texas State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Bobcats have been scoring 73.7 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 73.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Texas State has been more stingy on defense lately, allowing 69.8 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.6 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2025-26 season.
  • During their past 10 outings, the Bobcats are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (5.1 compared to 4.8 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (35.2% compared to 33.0% season-long).

Texas State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 11-4-0; Away: 5-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 8-6-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-14-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 11-0; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-10 (Home: 3-1; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.8 (86th in nation) 44.2 (178th) 32.0 (182nd) 27.1 (15th) 13.2 (231st) 12.0 (286th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Texas State vs. Southern Miss? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Southern Miss statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Golden Eagles are posting 75.0 points per contest over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 74.3.
  • Southern Miss has played better defensively in its last 10 games, allowing 73.5 points per contest, 0.2 fewer points than its season average of 73.7 allowed.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Golden Eagles are making 5.6 treys per game, 0.3 more than their season average (5.3). They also sport a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (33.3%) compared to their season average (30.3%).

Southern Miss betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 11-10-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 11-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-12-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 11-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-14 (Home: 3-2; Away: 2-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.0 (195th in nation) 43.3 (116th) 33.4 (102nd) 30.3 (135th) 11.7 (327th) 12.3 (306th)
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