Sun Belt opponents match up when the Texas State Bobcats (3-1) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-4) square off on Saturday, October 4, 2025 at Centennial Bank Stadium.

The Bobcats are expected to win by double digits (currently -13.5) against the Red Wolves. The over/under for this game is 64.5 points.

Keep reading to check out our betting primer for this this matchup between the Bobcats and the Red Wolves, and discover all of our expert picks here, too!

Texas State vs. Arkansas State betting lines

• Spread favorite: Bobcats (-13.5)
• Moneyline: Bobcats (-493), Red Wolves (+373)
• Total: 64.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN U
• Live Stream: Fubo

Texas State vs. Arkansas State betting info and stats

Texas State has a pair of wins against the spread so far this season (2-2-0). Texas State has covered the spread one time this season when favored by at least 13.5 points. Texas State won both of the games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season. Arkansas State has won twice against the spread this season (2-3-0). When Arkansas State is the underdog by 13.5 points or more, it has covered the spread one time (1-1 ATS). This will be the fourth game this year Arkansas State is the moneyline underdog, and have lost every such contest.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State recent stats and trends

Texas State Bobcats

Arkansas State Red Wolves

• Arkansas State is 1-2 against the spread over its past three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
• The final combined score of each of the past three Arkansas State games did not go over the set point total.
• The past three Arkansas State games averaged 8.3 fewer points (56.2) than this matchup’s over/under.

Texas State vs. Arkansas State key players

Texas State Bobcats

• Brad Jackson has thrown for 864 yards (216.0 ypg) to lead Texas State, completing 66.7% of his passes and recording six touchdown passes compared to one interception this season. He’s also figured in the ground game with 128 rushing yards on 43 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
• The team’s top rusher, Lincoln Pare, has carried the ball 61 times for 363 yards (90.8 per game), scoring three times. He’s also caught nine passes for 74 yards.
• Jaylen Jenkins has collected 158 yards on 25 attempts, scoring two times.
• Beau Sparks has hauled in 28 receptions for 370 yards (92.5 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone five times as a receiver.
• Chris Dawn Jr. has caught eight passes for 160 yards (53.3 yards per game) this year.
• Kylen Evans has hauled in 10 receptions for 132 yards, an average of 33.0 yards per game. He’s scored one time as a receiver this season.
• Kalil Alexander leads the team with 2.0 sacks, and also has 3.0 TFL and 16 tackles.
• Texas State’s tackle leader, Treylin Payne, has 24 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack this year.
• Khamari Terrell leads the team with one interception, while also collecting six tackles and one pass defended.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

• Jaylen Raynor leads Arkansas State with 1,203 yards on 121-of-186 passing with six touchdowns compared to four interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 104 rushing yards (20.8 ypg) on 56 carries while scoring two touchdowns on the ground.
• Devin Spencer is his team’s leading rusher with 39 carries for 188 yards, or 37.6 per game. He’s found the end zone one time on the ground, as well.
• Kenyon Clay has taken 51 carries and totaled 166 yards with one touchdown.
• Chauncy Cobb leads his squad with 367 receiving yards on 27 receptions.
• Corey Rucker has caught 19 passes and compiled 232 receiving yards (46.4 per game) with one touchdown.
• Hunter Summers’ 15 catches (on 24 targets) have netted him 215 yards (43.0 ypg) and one touchdown.
• Bryan Whitehead II has 1.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 2.0 TFL and five tackles.
• Arkansas State’s tackle leader, Brandon Greil, has 26 tackles and one interception this year.
• Avante Dickerson leads the team with two interceptions, while also recording 19 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended.