Sun Belt opponents match up when the Texas State Bobcats (3-2) and the Troy Trojans (3-2) square off on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at UFCU Stadium.

The Trojans are expected to lose (currently +7.5) versus the Bobcats (with an over/under of 54.5 points).

Keep reading for our betting primer for this this contest between the Bobcats and the Trojans, and uncover all of our betting picks here, too!

Texas State vs. Troy betting lines

• Spread favorite: Bobcats (-7.5)
• Moneyline: Bobcats (-296), Trojans (+238)
• Total: 54.5 points

Texas State vs. Troy betting info and stats

Texas State, in five games with a spread so far this season, has gone 2-3-0 against the spread. Texas State has covered the spread one time when the favorite by at least 7.5 points (a 1-2 ATS record). Texas State is 2-1 in the three games this season it has been moneyline favorites. Troy has won three games against the spread so far this season (3-2-0). When Troy is an underdog of 7.5 points or more, it has always covered the spread (1-0 ATS). Troy is 2-2 in games it has been the moneyline underdog.

Texas State vs. Troy recent stats and trends

Texas State Bobcats

• Texas State is winless against the spread (0-3) and 1-2 overall during its last three contests.
• Texas State and its opponents did not combine to hit the over in any of those games.
• The last three Texas State games averaged 60.5 total points, 6.0 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Troy Trojans

• Troy is 2-1 against the spread over its last three games and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
• The final combined score of the last three Troy games exceeded the set total once.
• The past three Troy games averaged 6.8 fewer points (47.7) than this matchup’s over/under.

Texas State vs. Troy key players

Texas State Bobcats

• Brad Jackson has been a dual threat for Texas State so far this season. He has 1,094 passing yards, completing 67.2% of his passes and recording seven touchdown passes and one interception this season. He’s rushed for 259 yards (51.8 ypg) on 53 carries with six rushing touchdowns.
• Lincoln Pare has racked up 468 yards on 82 carries while finding paydirt five times as a runner. He’s also caught 11 passes for 113 yards (22.6 per game).
• Beau Sparks’ 428 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 48 times and has totaled 31 receptions and five touchdowns.
• Chris Dawn Jr. has put up a 206-yard season so far, reeling in 13 passes on 20 targets.
• Kylen Evans has a total of 145 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 11 passes and scoring one touchdown.
• Kalil Alexander has collected 2.0 sacks to pace the team, while also recording 3.0 TFL and 17 tackles.
• Treylin Payne, Texas State’s leading tackler, has 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack this year.
• Khamari Terrell has a team-high one interception to go along with 12 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended.

Troy Trojans

• Tucker Kilcrease has racked up 416 yards on 50% passing while collecting three touchdown passes with two interceptions this season. He’s also run for 134 yards with two scores.
• Tae Meadows is his team’s leading rusher with 75 carries for 416 yards, or 83.2 per game. He’s found paydirt three times on the ground, as well.
• Jordan Lovett has rushed for 149 yards on 36 carries.
• Tray Taylor has hauled in 191 receiving yards on 11 receptions to pace his squad so far this season while scoring two touchdowns as a receiver.
• Roman Mothershed has caught 15 passes and compiled 168 receiving yards (33.6 per game) with one touchdown.
• Rara Thomas’ 11 catches (on 27 targets) have netted him 150 yards (30.0 ypg) and two touchdowns.
• Donnie Smith leads the team with 3.0 sacks, and also has 2.0 TFL and 19 tackles.
• Troy’s tackle leader, Devin Lafayette, has 51 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack this year.
• Jaquez White has a team-leading one interception to go along with 24 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.