Texas Tech vs. Kansas State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Kansas State Wildcats (11-15, 2-11 Big 12) are heavy underdogs (+12.5) as they attempt to break a six-game road losing streak when they square off against the No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-7, 9-4 Big 12) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at United Supermarkets Arena. The game airs at 2:30 p.m. ET on FOX. The point total for the matchup is set at 157.5.

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Texas Tech Cover -12.5 vs Kansas State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State betting lines

  • Texas Tech moneyline odds to win: -980
  • Kansas State moneyline odds to win: +617
  • Spread: Texas Tech (-12.5)
  • Total: 157.5

Texas Tech statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Texas Tech has a better record against the spread when playing at home (7-6-0) than it does in road games (4-4-0).
  • The Red Raiders have hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of home games (46.2%) than road games (25%).
  • Texas Tech has played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 11-1, compared to going 3-2 on the road.

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Red Raiders have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 78.8 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 81.4 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • Texas Tech has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 71.0 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 72.3 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
  • The Red Raiders are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 12.1 threes per game and shooting 41.2% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 11.4 makes and 38.9% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Texas Tech betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-13-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 9-11-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-15-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 2-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 11-1; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (118th in nation) 43.8 (164th) 34.5 (62nd) 30.9 (178th) 15.8 (71st) 10.2 (87th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Texas Tech vs. Kansas State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Kansas State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Kansas State has had better results away (5-3-0) than at home (4-12-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Wildcats games have gone over nine of 16 times at home (56.2%), and three of eight on the road (37.5%).
  • In 2025-26 when moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats have a better winning percentage at home (.200, 1-4 record) than away (.125, 1-7).

Recent trends

  • While the Wildcats are posting 80.6 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, tallying 71.2 points per contest.
  • Kansas State is surrendering 81.1 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 0.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (80.4).
  • The Wildcats are making 9.1 treys per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.7 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.8). Additionally, they have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (35.3%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (36.6%).

Kansas State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-15-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-12-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 6-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-12 (Home: 1-4; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.1 (133rd in nation) 45.1 (242nd) 30.9 (252nd) 33.5 (312th) 17.8 (21st) 12.5 (307th)
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