SEC foes match up when the No. 22 Texas Longhorns (5-2) and the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) play on Saturday, October 25, 2025 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.

The Bulldogs are expected to lose by at least a touchdown (currently +7.5) against the Longhorns (with an over/under of 47.5 points).

Below you’ll find our betting primer for this this matchup between the Longhorns and the Bulldogs, and discover all of our betting picks here, too!

Texas vs. Mississippi State betting lines

• Spread favorite: Longhorns (-7.5)
• Moneyline: Longhorns (-285), Bulldogs (+231)
• Total: 47.5 points
• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo

Texas vs. Mississippi State betting info and stats

Texas has won two games against the spread this season (2-5-0). Texas has covered the spread once when the favorite by at least 7.5 points (a 1-3 ATS record). Texas is 5-1 in the six games this season it has been favored on the moneyline. Mississippi State is 6-1-0 against the spread through seven opportunities this season. In the three games Mississippi State has been the underdog by at least 7.5 points, it covered the spread twice. Mississippi State’s record when playing as the underdog this year is 1-3.

Texas vs. Mississippi State recent stats and trends

Texas Longhorns

• Texas is 1-2 against the spread in its last three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those matchups.
• The final combined score of the last three Texas games went over the set total one time.
• The last three Texas games averaged 43.7 total points, 3.8 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

• Mississippi State is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall over its last three matchups.
• Mississippi State and its opponents have hit the over once in those games.
• The past three Mississippi State games averaged 9.3 more points (56.8) than this matchup’s point total.

Texas vs. Mississippi State key players

Texas Longhorns

• Arch Manning has thrown for 1,449 yards, completing 60.3% of his passes and collecting 12 touchdowns and five interceptions this season. He’s also run for 193 yards (27.6 ypg) on 58 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
• Quintrevion Wisner has 222 rushing yards on 58 carries with two touchdowns. He’s also added 10 catches for 72 yards (18.0 per game) and one touchdown through the air.
• Ryan Wingo’s team-high 320 yards as a receiver have come on 24 receptions (out of 50 targets) with four touchdowns.
• Parker Livingstone has caught 15 passes for 308 yards (44.0 yards per game) and three touchdowns this year.
• DeAndre Moore Jr. has a total of 277 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 20 passes and scoring one touchdown.
• Colin Simmons paces the team with 7.0 sacks, and also has 6.0 TFL and 20 tackles.
• Texas’ tackle leader, Anthony Hill Jr., has 44 tackles and one interception this year.
• Graceson Littleton leads the team with two interceptions, while also recording 19 tackles and two passes defended.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

• Blake Shapen has put up 1,528 passing yards, or 218.3 per game, so far this season. He has completed 66.7% of his passes and has recorded nine touchdowns with five interceptions.
• The team’s top rusher, Da’Marion Bothwell, has carried the ball 84 times for 465 yards (77.5 per game) with six touchdowns.
• Davon Booth has compiled 370 yards on 81 carries with six touchdowns.
• Brenen Thompson has registered 29 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 533 (76.1 yards per game). He’s been targeted 44 times and has four touchdowns.
• Anthony Evans III has collected 471 receiving yards (67.3 yards per game) and two touchdowns on 42 receptions.
• Jordan Mosley’s 14 targets have resulted in eight catches for 168 yards and one touchdown.
• Darron Reed Jr. has 2.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 2.0 TFL and 15 tackles.
• Jahron Manning, Mississippi State’s tackle leader, has 46 tackles and one interception this year.
• Brylan Lanier leads the team with three interceptions, while also putting up 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.