Toledo vs. Bowling Green betting: MAC Tournament preview for March 12

Data Skrive

The No. 4 seed Toledo Rockets (17-14, 11-7 MAC) are 1.5-point favorites in the MAC Tournament against the No. 5 seed Bowling Green Falcons (18-13, 9-9 MAC) on Thursday at Rocket Arena. The matchup tips at 1:30 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total in the matchup is set at 150.

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Spread

Toledo Cover -1.5 vs Bowling Green -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Toledo vs. Bowling Green betting lines

  • Toledo moneyline odds to win: -126
  • Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: +104
  • Spread: Toledo (-1.5)
  • Total: 150

Toledo statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Rockets have been scoring 79.8 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 81.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Toledo has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 72.5 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 76.8 it has surrendered per game this season.
  • The Rockets’ last 10 outings have seen them make 7.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 37.4% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 7.1 makes and 36.2%.

Toledo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 9-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 7-9-0 (As Favorite: 7-9-0; As Underdog: 9-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-17-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 6-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 8-3; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-9 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.7 (31st in nation) 47.1 (322nd) 30.3 (270th) 32.2 (252nd) 15.7 (75th) 9.8 (63rd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Toledo vs. Bowling Green? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Bowling Green statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Falcons are putting up 72.3 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 9.2 fewer points than their average for the season (81.5).
  • While Bowling Green is allowing 71.4 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 71.5 points per contest.
  • The Falcons are draining 0.3 fewer threes per game over their past 10 games (6.9) compared to their season average (7.2), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (34.2%) compared to their season mark (34.6%).

Bowling Green betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-16-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 6-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 2-5-0 (As Favorite: 10-11-0; As Underdog: 2-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-18-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 5-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-7 (Home: 7-5; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-6 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.4 (55th in nation) 43.3 (115th) 32.7 (133rd) 30.5 (144th) 14.1 (155th) 10.9 (189th)
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Ryan Knuppel

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About Ryan Knuppel

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Betting Guide

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