The Toledo Rockets (13-8, 7-2 MAC) are heavily favored (-13) to build on a three-game win streak when they host the Buffalo Bulls (7-14, 2-7 MAC) at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at Savage Arena. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 163.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Toledo Cover -13 vs Buffalo -109
Toledo vs. Buffalo betting lines
- Toledo moneyline odds to win: -952
- Buffalo moneyline odds to win: +623
- Spread: Toledo (-13)
- Total: 163.5
Toledo statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Toledo owns a worse record against the spread at home (1-5-0) than it does in away games (9-2-0).
- The Rockets have gone over the total in a lower percentage of games at home (50%) than road games (54.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Toledo has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.667) compared to away games (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Rockets have seen an uptick in scoring lately, racking up 79.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.5 points more than the 78.8 they’ve scored this year.
- Toledo’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 78.9 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 78.1 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Rockets’ past 10 outings have seen them make 5.7 three-pointers per game while shooting 33.5% from deep. Both numbers are down compared to their 2024-25 averages of 6.0 makes and 34.0%.
Toledo betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-9-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 13+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 11-9-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 4-2; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.4 (95th in nation) | 47.0 (335th) | 32.1 (195th) | 32.2 (240th) | 13.4 (209th) | 9.4 (20th) |
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Buffalo statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Buffalo has a lower winning percentage at home (.375, 3-5-0 record) than on the road (.545, 6-5-0).
- Bulls games have finished above the over/under 37.5% of the time at home (three of eight), and 72.7% of the time away (eight of 11).
- The Bulls’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .167 (1-5), and on the road it is .182 (2-9).
Recent trends
- The Bulls have played worse offensively in their previous 10 games, tallying 71.0 points per contest, 1.4 fewer points their than season average of 72.4.
- Buffalo is allowing 83.3 points per contest over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 81.7 points allowed.
- The Bulls are making 9.1 threes per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 0.9 more than their average for the season (8.2). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (30.2%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (30.1%).
Buffalo betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-10-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 13+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 8-9-0)
- O-U-P: 11-8-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-14 (Home: 1-5; Away: 2-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.5 (300th in nation) | 46.5 (323rd) | 31.1 (255th) | 36.1 (353rd) | 14.4 (130th) | 14.2 (346th) |
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