The Toledo Rockets (12-12, 6-5 MAC) are favored (by 6.5 points) to end a four-game road losing streak when they visit the Western Michigan Broncos (8-15, 2-8 MAC) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 154.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Toledo Cover -6.5 vs Western Michigan -109
Toledo vs. Western Michigan betting lines
- Toledo moneyline odds to win: -285
- Western Michigan moneyline odds to win: +224
- Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
- Total: 154.5
Toledo statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Toledo has fared worse at home, covering four times in 10 home games, and six times in 10 road games.
- The Rockets have hit the over on the total in a lower percentage of games at home (40%) than away games (50%).
- In home games, Toledo has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 5-3 (.625). When playing on the road, it is 2-2 (.500) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Rockets have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 78.5 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.4 points fewer than the 80.9 they’ve scored this year.
- Toledo’s defense has been more stingy lately, as the team has allowed 77.0 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 77.5 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- The Rockets’ last 10 contests have seen them make 7.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 38.6% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 6.9 makes and 34.9%.
Toledo betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-8-0; As Underdog: 7-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-13-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-5 (Home: 5-3; Away: 2-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.7 (51st in nation) | 47.3 (334th) | 29.9 (295th) | 32.7 (273rd) | 15.4 (96th) | 10.5 (114th) |
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Western Michigan statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, Western Michigan is 7-2-0 at home against the spread (.778 winning percentage). Away, it is 5-7-0 ATS (.417).
- In terms of the over/under, Broncos games have gone over four of nine times at home (44.4%), and eight of 12 away (66.7%).
- The Broncos’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .400 (2-3), and on the road it is .083 (1-11).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Broncos are averaging 73.3 points per game, 1.3 fewer points than their season average (74.6).
- Western Michigan is surrendering 81.2 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 1.6 more points than it is allowing for the season (79.6).
- The Broncos are making 7.8 treys per game with a 35.8% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.2 and 34.4%.
Western Michigan betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-9-0 (Home: 7-2-0; Away: 5-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 4-0-0; As Underdog: 8-9-0)
- O-U-P: 12-9-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 8-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-0 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-14 (Home: 2-3; Away: 1-11)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (209th in nation) | 45.5 (267th) | 32.2 (186th) | 31.3 (196th) | 13.1 (247th) | 11.9 (255th) |
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