The Toledo Rockets (6-4) host a MAC clash against the Ball State Cardinals (4-6) on Saturday, November 22, 2025 at the Glass Bowl.

The Rockets are expected to win by at least two TDs (currently -28) versus the Cardinals. The over/under for this game is 45.5 points.

Read on for our betting preview for this this contest between the Rockets and the Cardinals, and uncover all of our expert predictions here, too!

Toledo vs. Ball State betting lines

• Spread favorite: Rockets (-28)
• Moneyline: Rockets (-6667), Cardinals (+1780)
• Total: 45.5 points

Toledo vs. Ball State betting info and stats

Toledo has an against-the-spread record of 7-3-0 so far this season. Toledo is undefeated ATS (1-0) when favorites by at least 28 points. Toledo has been listed as moneyline favorites nine times this season, and has put up a 6-3 record in those matchups. Ball State has a 6-4-0 record against the spread so far this season. When Ball State is an underdog of 28 points or more, it has always covered the spread (1-0 ATS). Ball State is 2-5 in games it has been an underdog on the moneyline.

Toledo vs. Ball State recent stats and trends

Toledo Rockets

• Toledo is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall in its last three matchups.
• Toledo and its opponents have combined to hit the over in one of those games.
• The last three Toledo games averaged 44.0 total points, 1.5 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.

Ball State Cardinals

• Ball State has covered the spread once in its past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
• The final combined score of each of the past three Ball State games did not go over the set point total.
• Ball State’s last three outings have ended with an average of 46.3 points scored. That’s 0.8 more points than this contest’s over/under.

Toledo vs. Ball State key players

Toledo Rockets

• Tucker Gleason has compiled 2,199 yards (219.9 ypg) on 183-of-279 passing with 17 touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season. In addition, he’s added 103 rushing yards (11.4 ypg) on 42 carries while scoring four touchdowns on the ground.
• DeaMonte Trayanum has racked up 728 yards on 135 carries while finding paydirt nine times. He’s also caught 14 passes for 128 yards (18.3 per game) and one touchdown through the air.
• Kenji Christian has collected 441 yards on 85 carries, scoring three times. He’s grabbed 15 passes for 181 yards (22.6 per game) and one touchdown, as well.
• Junior Vandeross III’s team-high 749 yards as a receiver have come on 64 receptions (out of 92 targets) with nine touchdowns.
• Trayvon Rudolph has reeled in 34 passes while averaging 38.1 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
• Jacob Petersen has compiled 20 grabs for 258 yards, an average of 25.8 yards per game. He’s scored two times as a receiver this season.
• Malachi Davis has racked up 5.0 sacks to pace the team, while also recording 8.0 TFL and 26 tackles.
• K’Von Sherman is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s picked up 56 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and two sacks.
• Braden Awls has picked off a team-high five passes. He also has 39 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended to his name.

Ball State Cardinals

• Kiael Kelly has been a dual threat for Ball State this season. He has 1,217 passing yards (121.7 per game) while completing 57.5% of his passes. He’s thrown eight touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. On the ground, he’s compiled 537 yards (53.7 ypg) on 177 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
• Qua Ashley has racked up 107 carries and totaled 525 yards with four touchdowns.
• Qian Magwood’s 257 receiving yards (25.7 yards per game) lead the team. He has 14 catches on 34 targets with one touchdown.
• Eric Weatherly has recorded 162 receiving yards (16.2 yards per game) on 25 receptions.
• Koby Gross’ 10 catches (on 19 targets) have netted him 141 yards (15.7 ypg) and one touchdown.
• Nate Voorhis has 9.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 11.0 TFL and 38 tackles.
• Ball State’s leading tackler, Alfred Chea Jr., has 45 tackles and 1.0 TFL this year.
• Joedrick Lewis has a team-leading three interceptions to go along with 20 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.