Saturday’s NHL slate features a matchup between the heavily favored Toronto Maple Leafs (48-26-4) and the Montreal Canadiens (39-31-9) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. The Maple Leafs are -225 on the moneyline to win at home against the Canadiens (+185) in the game, which starts at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Betting Lines

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-225)
• Underdog: Canadiens (+185)
• Over/under: 6.5

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Quick Facts

• Toronto’s games this season have gone over 6.5 goals 36 of 78 times.
• Montreal’s games have gone over 6.5 goals in 37 of 79 chances this season.
• Saturday’s over/under is 0.2 above the combined goal-scoring average of 6.2 for these two teams.
• The 6.1 goals per game that these two teams give up combined are 0.4 less than the 6.5-goal total set for this match.

Maple Leafs Stats, Moneyline & Leaders

Maple Leafs Season Stat Insights

• The Maple Leafs’ 254 goals this season make them the seventh-best scoring team in the league.
• On defense, Toronto has allowed 225 goals (2.9 per game) to rank 12th in league play.
• The team’s goal differential is ninth-best in the league at +29.
• Toronto’s 54 power-play goals this season (on 208 chances) are the ninth-most in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs’ 25.96% power-play conversion rate ranks sixth-best in the NHL this season.
• Toronto’s six shorthanded goals this season rank 13th in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs kill 77.78% of their opponent’s power plays, the 20th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• The Maple Leafs’ players win 53.6% of their faceoffs to rank second in the NHL.
• Toronto scores on 11.6% of its shots as a team, ranking sixth in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have yet to shut out an opponent this season, averaging 24.1 hits and 16.6 blocked shots per game.

Maple Leafs Moneyline

• Through 54 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Toronto has won 34 of those games.
• The Maple Leafs have won four of the seven games they have played with moneyline odds lower than -225.
• Toronto has a 69.2% chance of winning this game, according to the moneyline odds.

Maple Leafs Leaders

• Mitchell Marner: 25 goals and 72 assists
• William Nylander: 44 goals and 38 assists
• Auston Matthews: 30 goals and 44 assists
• Joseph Woll: 25-14-1 record, .907 save percentage, 107 goals allowed

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Canadiens Stats, Moneyline & Leaders

Canadiens Season Stats Insights

• The Canadiens have scored 236 goals this season (3.0 per game) to rank 16th in the league.
• Montreal has allowed 255 total goals (3.2 per game) to rank 24th.
• They have a -19 goal differential, which ranks 22nd in the league.
• Montreal has put up 46 power-play goals this season (on 225 chances). That ranks 18th in the NHL.
• The Canadiens have a 20.44% power-play conversion rate, the league’s No. 21 percentage.
• Montreal has scored nine shorthanded goals this season (fifth in league).
• The 81.12% of opponent power plays the Canadiens kill is the ninth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• The Canadiens have the 13th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL (50.8%).
• Montreal’s collective 11.6% shooting percentage ranks sixth in the league.
• The Canadiens have not yet shut out an opponent this season.

Canadiens Moneyline Insights

• This season the Canadiens have 30 wins in the 66 games in which they’ve been an underdog.
• Montreal has a record of 7-12 in games when sportsbooks list the team at +185 or longer on the moneyline.
• The win probability for the Canadiens, implied from the moneyline, is 35.1%.

Canadiens Leaders

• Nicholas Suzuki: 29 goals and 58 assists
• Cole Caufield: 37 goals and 31 assists
• Lane Hutson: six goals and 56 assists
• Samuel Montembeault: 30-24-6 record, .901 save percentage, 161 goals conceded