Week 12 of the NFL season features Travis Kelce and the Kansas City Chiefs hitting the field against the Indianapolis Colts at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Below, we dig into Kelce’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you pick out the top bets for the player and this contest.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Travis Kelce to go over 58.5 yards
Travis Kelce Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: November 23, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 58.5 (-111)
Travis Kelce Stats and Trends
- Kelce has a team-high 631 yards receiving on 50 grabs (on 66 targets) with four TDs this season, averaging 63.1 yards per game.
- Kelce’s 63.1 receiving yards average is 4.6 more than his over/under for Sunday’s outing.
- Kelce has put up over 58.5 receiving yards in 60.0% of his opportunities this season (six of 10).
- He picks up 63.1 receiving yards per game, 19.7 more than his average over/under (43.4).
- Kelce has hit the over on his prop for receiving yards in eight of 10 games this season.
- He has four games with a touchdown catch this year, out of 10 played, but only a single TD each time.
Recent Performances vs. the Colts
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolphins | 133 | 1 |
| 2 | Broncos | 206 | 3 |
| 3 | Titans | 196 | 1 |
| 4 | Rams | 360 | 3 |
| 5 | Raiders | 190 | 0 |
| 6 | Cardinals | 312 | 2 |
| 7 | Chargers | 391 | 3 |
| 8 | Titans | 228 | 1 |
| 9 | Steelers | 187 | 1 |
| 10 | Falcons | 150 | 1 |
Chiefs Home Splits
- The Chiefs put up 28.6 points per game at home (3.2 more than their overall average), and give up 12.8 at home (5.3 less than overall).
- The Chiefs’ average yards gained at home (379.4) is higher than their overall average (364.2). But their average yards conceded at home (245.6) is lower than overall (296.8).
- The Chiefs’ average yards passing at home (249.2) is higher than their overall average (248.9). And their average yards conceded at home (151.4) is lower than overall (196.8).
- The Chiefs accumulate 130.2 rushing yards per game at home (14.9 more than their overall average), and give up 94.2 at home (5.8 less than overall).
- The Chiefs’ offensive third-down percentage in home games (41.9%) is higher than their overall average (41.3%). Their defensive third-down percentage at home (37%) is lower than overall (41.6%).
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