The Jacksonville Jaguars and Trevor Lawrence will take the field against the Buffalo Bills at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday for the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. If you’re trying to place a bet on one of Lawrence’s props, we break down all of his available prop bets, trends and stats here.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Trevor Lawrence to go over 237.5 yards
Trevor Lawrence Prop Lines
- Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: January 11, 2026
- Passing yards prop: Over 237.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 26.5 (-109)
Trevor Lawrence Stats and Trends
- Lawrence has passed for 4,007 yards (235.7 per game), completing 60.9% of his throws, with 29 TDs and 12 INTs.
- Compared to his 237.5-yard prop bet total for this matchup, Lawrence is throwing for fewer yards per game — 235.7 — this season.
- In nine of 17 matchups this year, Lawrence has exceeded 237.5 passing yards.
- His 235.7 passing yards per game average is 10.1 greater than his average prop bet total of 225.6.
- This season, Lawrence has exceeded his passing yards prop total in 11 of 17 opportunities.
- He has tossed a touchdown pass in 14 of 17 games this year, with more than one TD throw eight times.
- In addition Lawrence has 359 yards on the ground (21.1 per game), on 82 carries plus nine touchdowns.
Recent Performances vs. the Bills
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 194 | 2 |
| 2 | Jets | 54 | 1 |
| 3 | Dolphins | 146 | 2 |
| 4 | Saints | 109 | 1 |
| 5 | Patriots | 267 | 0 |
| 6 | Falcons | 233 | 1 |
| 8 | Panthers | 130 | 0 |
| 9 | Chiefs | 226 | 0 |
| 10 | Dolphins | 173 | 2 |
| 11 | Buccaneers | 165 | 1 |
| 12 | Texans | 153 | 2 |
| 13 | Steelers | 108 | 0 |
| 14 | Bengals | 276 | 4 |
| 15 | Patriots | 139 | 0 |
| 16 | Browns | 134 | 1 |
| 17 | Eagles | 108 | 1 |
| 18 | Jets | 53 | 1 |
Jaguars Home Splits
- In home games, the Jaguars put up 28.1 points per game and concede 17.2. That’s more than they score overall (27.9), but less than they allow (19.8).
- The Jaguars’ average yards gained at home (341.2) is higher than their overall average (337.4). But their average yards allowed at home (279.7) is lower than overall (303.6).
- At home, the Jaguars rack up 228.4 passing yards per game and give up 185.8. That’s more than they gain overall (222.3), and less than they allow (218.1).
- The Jaguars’ average yards rushing at home (112.8) is lower than their overall average (115.1). But their average yards allowed at home (93.9) is higher than overall (85.6).
- The Jaguars convert 37.3% of third downs at home (1.9% lower than their overall average), and concede 36.3% at home (4.1% lower than overall).
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