Troy vs. Arkansas State betting: College basketball preview for January 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Troy Trojans (10-5, 3-1 Sun Belt) host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-5, 2-2 Sun Belt) in a matchup of Sun Belt teams at Trojan Arena, starting at 4:33 PM ET on Saturday, January 11, 2025. The Trojans are 2-point favorites in the game. The over/under is 144 for the matchup.

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Troy Cover -2 vs Arkansas State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Troy vs. Arkansas State betting lines

  • Troy moneyline odds to win: -131
  • Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: +109
  • Spread: Troy (-2)
  • Total: 144

Troy statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Troy has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered five times in seven opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered four times in seven opportunities in away games.
  • The Trojans have hit the over on the over/under in six of seven home games (85.7%), compared to one of seven road games (14.3%).
  • Troy has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 4-2 (.667). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 4-0 (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Trojans’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 74.9 points per contest compared to the 73.7 they’ve averaged this year.
  • The past 10 games have seen Troy concede 1.7 fewer points per game (64.2) than its season-long average (65.9).
  • The Trojans are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 7.1 threes per game and shooting 29.8% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.7 makes and 28.6% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Troy betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-4-1 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 4-2-1)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2+: 8-2-0 (As Favorite: 8-2-1; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-7-0 (Home: 6-1-0; Away: 1-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 4-2; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.3 (167th in nation) 41.6 (96th) 34.2 (101st) 28.1 (38th) 14.4 (148th) 14.7 (349th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Troy vs. Arkansas State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Arkansas State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Arkansas State has a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 3-3-0 record) than away (.667, 4-2-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Red Wolves games have finished over three of six times at home (50%), and two of six on the road (33.3%).

Recent trends

  • While the Red Wolves are posting 78.2 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, tallying 76.4 points per contest.
  • Arkansas State is giving up 71.6 points per contest in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 70.8 points allowed.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Red Wolves are sinking 8.7 threes per game, 0.7 fewer threes than their season average (9.4). They sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.6%) compared to their season average (31.5%).

Arkansas State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-8-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 4-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2+: 3-0-0 (As Favorite: 4-7-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-8-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 2-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 6-0; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.2 (330th in nation) 39.4 (33rd) 37.4 (17th) 36.4 (351st) 12.6 (270th) 10.6 (87th)
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