The Troy Trojans (12-6, 5-1 Sun Belt) host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (12-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) after winning five straight home games. The Trojans are favored by 3.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 4:33 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The matchup’s point total is set at 166.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Troy Cover -3.5 vs Arkansas State -110
Troy vs. Arkansas State betting lines
- Troy moneyline odds to win: -169
- Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: +140
- Spread: Troy (-3.5)
- Total: 166.5
Troy statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Troy has done a better job covering the spread in home games (4-1-0) than it has in road affairs (6-3-0).
- In home games, the Trojans exceed the total 60% of the time (three of five games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, going over the total in 66.7% of games (six of nine).
- As a moneyline favorite, Troy has taken four of five games at home, good for a .800 winning percentage. It has won one of two games on the road (.500) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Trojans have been racking up 83.4 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 86.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Troy’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (70.2) is 6.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (76.3).
- Over their last 10 outings, the Trojans are making 0.2 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.7 compared to 10.5 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (38.1% compared to 36.3% season-long).
Troy betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-6-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 4-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 (145th in nation) | 43.2 (153rd) | 36.3 (43rd) | 33.4 (298th) | 16.9 (54th) | 12.2 (255th) |
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Arkansas State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Arkansas State has a better winning percentage at home (.667, 4-2-0 record) than away (.600, 6-4-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Red Wolves’ games have finished above the over/under at home (33.3%, two of six) compared to away (70%, seven of 10).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Red Wolves are scoring 86.8 points per game, 3.3 more than their season average (83.5).
- While Arkansas State is surrendering 78.7 points per game in 2025-26, it has bettered that mark over its past 10 games, allowing 76.2 points per contest.
- The Red Wolves are making 9.7 threes per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.9 more than their average for the season (8.8). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (34.2%) compared to their season average from three-point land (31.7%).
Arkansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-6-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-4 (Home: 5-1; Away: 3-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 (202nd in nation) | 45.8 (295th) | 37.4 (28th) | 29.9 (120th) | 15.1 (129th) | 14.2 (353rd) |
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