The Troy Trojans (14-7, 7-3 Sun Belt) are heavy favorites (-16.5) as they try to build on a three-game home win streak when they host the UL Monroe Warhawks (6-17, 2-8 Sun Belt) on Saturday, February 1, 2025 at Trojan Arena. The contest airs at 4:33 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 139.5.

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Troy vs. UL Monroe betting lines

• Troy moneyline odds to win: -1961
• UL Monroe moneyline odds to win: +1004
• Spread: Troy (-16.5)
• Total: 139.5

Troy statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Troy has done a better job covering the spread on the road (6-2-1) than it has at home (6-5-0).
• The Trojans have gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (72.7%) than road games (11.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Troy has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.700) compared to road games (1.000).

Recent trends

• The Trojans have been racking up 71.1 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 73.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
• The past 10 games have seen Troy give up 1.5 fewer points per game (64.5) than its season-long average (66).
• The Trojans’ past 10 contests have seen them make 8.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 30.9% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 7.6 makes and 29.8%.

Troy betting records this season

• ATS Record: 12-7-1 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 6-2-1)
• ATS Record When Favored by 16.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 10-5-1; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
• O-U-P: 9-11-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 1-8-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-3 (Home: 7-3; Away: 5-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-4)

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UL Monroe statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Against the spread, UL Monroe has had better results away (5-5-0) than at home (3-7-0).
• Warhawks games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (five of 10), and 30% of the time on the road (three of 10).
• The Warhawks, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-6) than away (2-8) this year.

Recent trends

• The Warhawks are averaging 65.8 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 3.9 fewer points than their average for the season (69.7).
• While UL Monroe is surrendering 72.2 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 72.7 points per contest.
• In their previous 10 games, the Warhawks are sinking 8 treys per game, 0.9 more than their season average (7.1). They also have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.1%) compared to their season average (32.3%).

UL Monroe betting records this season

• ATS Record: 8-13-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 7-11-0)
• O-U-P: 8-13-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 3-7-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-15 (Home: 1-6; Away: 2-8)