Week 13 of the NFL season features Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins hitting the field against the New Orleans Saints at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Let’s break down all of the prop bets available for Tagovailoa in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.

Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines

• Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs. New Orleans Saints
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: November 30, 2025
• Passing yards prop: Over 214.5 (-111)
• Rushing yards prop: Over 0.5 (-114)

Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends

• Tagovailoa has 2,123 yards passing (193.0 per game) with 17 TDs and 13 INTs this season.
• Sunday’s over/under for Tagovailoa is 214.5 passing yards, which is 21.5 higher yards than his average of 193.0 on the season.
• In 11 games this season, Tagovailoa has exceeded 214.5 passing yards three times.
• His 193.0 passing yards per game are 31.3 below his average prop bet total of 224.3 yards.
• So far this year, Tagovailoa has topped his passing yards prop total in four of 11 opportunities.
• He has completed at least one touchdown pass in eight of 11 games (including multiple TDs six times).
• Tagovailoa has also rushed 14 times for 38 yards, picking up 3.5 yards per game.

Recent Performances vs. the Saints

Dolphins Home Splits

• In home games, the Dolphins put up 22.2 points per game and concede 22.8. That’s more than they score overall (20.5), but less than they allow (24.5).
• The Dolphins’ average yards gained (335.3) and conceded (372.2) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 300.4 and 349.8, respectively.
• The Dolphins rack up 206.3 passing yards per game at home (18.8 more than their overall average), and give up 227.5 at home (20.3 more than overall).
• At home, the Dolphins accumulate 129 rushing yards per game and concede 144.7. That’s more than they gain (112.8) and allow (142.6) overall.
• At home, the Dolphins convert 33.3% of third downs and allow 42.9% to be converted. That’s less than they convert overall (37.8%), and more than they allow (41.9%).