Week 14 action in the NFL features Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins facing the New York Jets at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Here is analysis of Tagovailoa’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you examine your best bets.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Tua Tagovailoa to go over 210.5 yards
Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 7, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 210.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 1.5 (-111)
Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends
- Tagovailoa has passed for 2,280 yards, completing 67.2%, with 17 touchdowns and 14 picks (190.0 yards per game).
- Tagovailoa is averaging 190.0 passing yards per game, fewer than his over/under for this contest of 210.5.
- In three of 12 games this year, Tagovailoa has exceeded 210.5 passing yards.
- His passing yards average of 190.0 yards this year is lower than his average prop bet total (223.3) by 33.3 passing yards.
- This year, Tagovailoa has hit the over on his passing yards prop total in four of 12 opportunities.
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in eight of 12 games (including multiple TDs six times).
- Also, Tagovailoa has picked up 42 rushing yards (3.5 per game) on 18 carries.
Recent Performances vs. the Jets
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steelers | 218 | 4 |
| 2 | Bills | 179 | 0 |
| 3 | Buccaneers | 225 | 1 |
| 4 | Dolphins | 177 | 2 |
| 5 | Cowboys | 236 | 4 |
| 6 | Broncos | 168 | 1 |
| 7 | Panthers | 177 | 1 |
| 8 | Bengals | 217 | 2 |
| 10 | Browns | 120 | 2 |
| 11 | Patriots | 271 | 1 |
| 12 | Ravens | 143 | 0 |
| 13 | Falcons | 222 | 1 |
Dolphins Away Splits
- The Dolphins score fewer points in road games (18.6 per game) than they do overall (20.6), and allow more (26.4 per game) than overall (23.8).
- The Dolphins pick up 258.4 yards per game in away games (41.8 fewer than overall), and give up 323 away from home (22.2 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Dolphins pick up fewer passing yards (165 per game) than they do overall (183.1). But they also concede fewer passing yards in away games (182.8) than overall (207.7).
- The Dolphins pick up fewer rushing yards away from home (93.4 per game) than they do overall (117.1), and give up more (140.2 per game) than overall (137.5).
- The Dolphins successfully convert 42.2% of third downs in away games (4.8% more than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 40.7% of third downs in road games (0.5% less than overall).
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