Hard Rock Stadium features Week 2 action as the Miami Dolphins and Tua Tagovailoa hit the field against the New England Patriots at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Here is a breakdown of Tagovailoa’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this contest to help you pick out your best bets.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Tua Tagovailoa to go over 236.5 yards
Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: September 14, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 236.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 3.5 (-105)
Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends
- Last season Tagovailoa racked up 2,867 yards passing (260.6 per game), going 291-for-399 (72.9%) with 19 TDs and seven INTs.
- Tagovailoa finished with 260.6 passing yards per game last season. That’s higher than his prop bet total for this matchup (236.5).
- In five of 11 contests last year (45.5%), Tagovailoa aired it out for more than 236.5 yards.
- His average rushing yards over/under last year was 3.1, which he bettered by 1.4 yards per game.
- Tagovailoa eclipsed his passing yards total in five games last season (45.5% of total opportunities).
- He had a passing touchdown in all 11 games last year (with multiple passing TDs in five of them).
Last Season Performances vs. the Patriots
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengals | 154 | 0 |
| 2 | Seahawks | 312 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 267 | 2 |
| 4 | 49ers | 283 | 1 |
| 5 | Dolphins | 179 | 0 |
| 6 | Texans | 176 | 3 |
| 7 | Jaguars | 193 | 1 |
| 8 | Jets | 224 | 2 |
| 9 | Titans | 233 | 2 |
| 10 | Bears | 69 | 0 |
| 11 | Rams | 295 | 4 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 308 | 4 |
| 13 | Colts | 109 | 2 |
| 15 | Cardinals | 232 | 0 |
| 16 | Bills | 152 | 1 |
| 17 | Chargers | 281 | 3 |
| 18 | Bills | 129 | 1 |
Dolphins Home Splits (Last Season)
- The Dolphins’ average points scored (24.8) and conceded (23) in home games were both higher than their overall averages of 20.3 and 21.4, respectively.
- At home, the Dolphins accumulated 349.3 yards per game and conceded 315. That’s more than they gained (325.4) and allowed (314.4) overall.
- The Dolphins’ average passing yards gained (245.1) and allowed (218.8) in home games were both higher than their overall averages of 219.8 and 210.7, respectively.
- The Dolphins’ averages of rushing yards gained (104.1) and conceded (96.3) at home were both lower than their overall averages of 105.6 and 103.7, respectively.
- At home, the Dolphins converted 43.7% of third downs and allowed 35.1% to be converted. That’s more than they converted overall (36.3%), and less than they allowed (35.9%).
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