Tua Tagovailoa will take the field with the Miami Dolphins when they square off against the Cleveland Browns at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 7 of the 2025 NFL season. Below we dig into Tagovailoa’s stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Tua Tagovailoa to go over 185.5 yards
Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: October 19, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 185.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 3.5 (-107)
Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends
- This season Tagovailoa has collected passing 1,213 yards (202.2 per game), going 127-for-182 (69.8%), with 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions.
- Compared to his 185.5-yard over/under for this matchup, Tagovailoa is passing for more yards per game — 202.2 — this season.
- In three games this season, Tagovailoa has thrown for more than 185.5 yards.
- His average prop bet for passing yards this season has been 234.8. His actual passing average is below that — by 32.6 yards per game.
- This season, Tagovailoa has finished above his passing yards prop bet total twice.
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all six games this year, with more than one TD pass four times.
- Tagovailoa has run for 32 yards as well, on eight carries, averaging 5.3 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Browns
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengals | 95 | 1 |
| 2 | Ravens | 197 | 4 |
| 3 | Packers | 149 | 1 |
| 4 | Lions | 168 | 2 |
| 5 | Vikings | 252 | 2 |
| 6 | Steelers | 235 | 2 |
Dolphins Away Splits
- The Dolphins score 17.7 points per game away from home (4.6 fewer than overall), and allow 30.3 away from home (1.3 more than overall).
- On the road, the Dolphins accumulate fewer yards (245 per game) than overall (289). They also give up more (398.7 per game) than overall (389.3).
- The Dolphins pick up 169.3 passing yards per game away from home (28.4 fewer than overall), and give up 214.7 in away games (6.1 fewer than overall).
- The Dolphins pick up 75.7 rushing yards per game in road games (15.6 fewer than overall), and concede 184 in road games (15.5 more than overall).
- The Dolphins convert 52.6% of third downs in away games (6.1% more than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 48.6% away from home (0.7% more than overall).
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